General Motors Company · GM · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

GM raises EBIT outlook while managing tariff and EV execution risks

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: GM paired strong U.S. demand and market-share gains with a raised EBIT outlook, but the durability of that trajectory depends on tariff mitigation, EV profitability, pricing, and supply-chain execution.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $74.50B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.63
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $43.05B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.6% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -1.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.5% Up to 20 sessions
GMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows a raised guidance stance and greater emphasis on tariff mitigation, while continuing the EV, Super Cruise, battery-supply, and software priorities. The current analysis also identifies the sale of GM's share in the Ultium Cells plant to LG Energy Solution and a new head of AI as novel information.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to $10–12.5 billion while identifying a $4–5 billion tariff exposure and targeting partial mitigation.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted strong U.S. demand, nearly two points of U.S. market-share gains, and EV share of 10–12% in March.
  • The company is pursuing tariff mitigation through higher U.S. content, cost reductions, and volume shifts.
  • EV scale, Super Cruise expansion, battery supply, and software-defined vehicles remain central to the operating plan.

Management priorities

  • Execute tariff mitigation and increase U.S.-content sourcing.
  • Scale EV production and improve battery and fixed-cost economics.
  • Expand Super Cruise and advance vehicle software, AI, and autonomous-driving initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.15 Q1 '24 actual $2.62, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.75 Q2 '24 actual $3.06, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.43 Q3 '24 actual $2.96, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.34 Q2 '25 actual $2.53, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.29 Q3 '25 actual $2.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.26 Q4 '25 actual $2.51, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.61 Q1 '26 actual $3.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.19 Q2 '26 actual $3.57, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.68 Q4 '26 estimate $2.81 Q1 '27 estimate $3.49 Q2 '27 estimate $4.10
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy51 ratings
Bullish3466.7%
Neutral1325.5%
Bearish47.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$82.37Previous close
$36Low
$80.61Average
$130High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 12, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
Tigress Financial Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $82.37. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$102$82.33 +23.8%Oct 12, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$101$81.98 +22.6%Oct 9, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$105$81.3 +27.5%Oct 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$112$82.01 +36.0%Oct 7, 2026
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesMark Delaney$112$80.23 +36.0%Oct 6, 2026
See 119 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

General Motors Company, a prominent global automotive enterprise, is engaged in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of a wide array of vehicles—including trucks, crossovers (SUVs), and passenger cars—along with related parts and accessories. Its expansive reach covers numerous regions such as North America, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, South America, with significant operations in the United States and China. The company organizes its business into distinct segments: GM North America, GM International, Cruise, and GM Financial. It markets its diverse vehicle lineup under well-known brand names like Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, GMC, Holden, Baojun, and Wuling. Beyond selling to individual consumers through dealerships, GM also supplies its vehicles—including specialized models—to a variety of fleet clients, such as daily rental companies, commercial businesses, leasing firms, and government agencies.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-15T00:03:42.498162+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T10:10:43.200043+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T10:10:43.197172+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.