NIKE, Inc. · NKE · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026

Nike’s performance categories grow as resets weigh on FY27 outlook

Nike’s performance categories show evidence of product and marketing traction, but the broader recovery remains unproven: Sportswear, Jordan, and Greater China are under pressure, while the Pace transformation and inventory reset must be executed before that traction can support a durable earnings recovery.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $52.02B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.48 Consensus $0.44
EPS surprise +10.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $11.21B Consensus $11.32B
Revenue surprise -0.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -0.7% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -0.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
NKESPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about NKE FY2027 Q1

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current quarter shifted from a lowered prior-quarter guidance sentiment to maintained guidance, while management emphasized a high-single-digit FY27 revenue decline, a $2.5 billion Pace savings target, and continued pressure from the portfolio and China resets.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment moved from lowered in the prior quarter to maintained in the current quarter; current analysis expects FY27 revenue to decline in the high single-digit range, with EBIT falling at a greater rate.

Key takeaways

  • Performance brands are outpacing the broader portfolio, supported by sport-focused innovation and marketing.
  • Sportswear, Jordan Brand, and Greater China remain under significant pressure.
  • Nike is using the Pace transformation to streamline operations and target cost savings.
  • Inventory reset, discounting, and reduced supply are near-term execution issues.
  • The dividend remains a capital-allocation priority despite earnings headwinds.

Management priorities

  • Advance the Sport Offense product and partnership strategy.
  • Reset the digital marketplace and flagship-store strategy in Greater China.
  • Scale the Pace program across the supply chain, organization, and workforce.
  • Launch new footwear innovations and expand women’s and university NIL activations.
  • Provide more detail at Investor Day.

Follow NKE with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NKE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $0.83 Q4 '24 actual $1.01, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.52 Q1 '25 actual $0.70, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.13 Q4 '25 actual $0.14, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.27 Q1 '26 actual $0.49, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.37 Q2 '26 actual $0.53, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.29 Q3 '26 actual $0.35, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.11 Q4 '26 actual $0.72, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.44 Q1 '27 actual $0.48, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.51 Q3 '27 estimate $0.41 Q4 '27 estimate $0.26 Q1 '28 estimate $0.56
Show 2 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold69 ratings
Bullish3246.4%
Neutral3043.5%
Bearish710.1%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$35.15Previous close
$30Low
$88.01Average
$192High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 29, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 28, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 28, 2026
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainSep 28, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform NeutralDowngradeSep 25, 2026
Show 65 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $35.15. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$40$36.39 +13.8%Sep 29, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$40$36.1 +13.8%Sep 28, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$37$36.12 +5.3%Sep 28, 2026
Piper SandlerAnna Andreeva$38$35.75 +8.1%Sep 28, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$52$35.9 +47.9%Sep 23, 2026
See 182 more

Track every rating change on NKE the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

NIKE, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, operates as a global enterprise focused on the design, development, marketing, and sale of athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories for all ages and genders. Beyond its primary offerings, the company provides a range of athletic and casual footwear, clothing, and accessories under the notable Jumpman trademark. It also distributes a variety of casual sneakers, apparel, and accessories, featuring well-known brands like Converse, Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron, and Jack Purcell. Under the NIKE brand itself, the company supplies a comprehensive line of performance sports gear and accessories, such as bags, socks, sports balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, and protective equipment. Additionally, NIKE sells various plastic products to other manufacturers.…

Historical context

All NKE earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the NKE recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-02T07:06:56.121309+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-02T01:23:08.314021+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T07:16:11.008748+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T07:16:11.006039+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.