General Motors Company · GM · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

GM maintains guidance as EVs and software expand amid tariff risk

The supplied analysis supports a mixed but constructive picture: resilient U.S. operating performance, EV adoption, Super Cruise growth and manufacturing investment provide support, while tariffs, EV-credit phase-out, pricing and warranty costs could constrain earnings quality. The unchanged outlook means the next test is execution against these offsets and growth initiatives.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $74.83B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.53 Consensus $2.34
EPS surprise +8.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $47.12B Consensus $45.99B
Revenue surprise +2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -8.1% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -8.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +16.7% Up to 20 sessions
GMSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, GM's narrative shifted from raised guidance and early tariff mitigation toward maintained guidance, a quantified Q2 tariff impact, and additional detail on manufacturing, battery, charging and software investments.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its full-year outlook: EBIT $10–12.5 billion, EPS $8.25–10, and adjusted free cash flow $7.5–10 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong underlying operating performance, including 17.3% U.S. market share and double-digit share gains despite higher industry incentives.
  • The EV portfolio continues to gain traction, with Chevrolet identified as the No. 2 EV brand and Cadillac gaining share in China.
  • Super Cruise serves more than 600,000 customers, while $4 billion of deferred revenue has been booked for software services.
  • A $1.1 billion Q2 tariff impact was identified; GM aims to offset at least 30% of its $4–5 billion full-year exposure.
  • The company is increasing investment in U.S. manufacturing, battery chemistry, and charging infrastructure.

Management priorities

  • Bring new full-size light-duty pickups and Cadillac Escalade production online at Orion Assembly within 18 months.
  • Deploy LFP and LMR battery cells at the Indiana joint venture and increase battery-related R&D.
  • Expand the fast-charging network to 65,000–80,000 public fast-charging bases by 2026.
  • Scale Super Cruise to more than 600,000 customers and double related revenue by 2026.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.15 Q1 '24 actual $2.62, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.75 Q2 '24 actual $3.06, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.43 Q3 '24 actual $2.96, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.34 Q2 '25 actual $2.53, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.29 Q3 '25 actual $2.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.26 Q4 '25 actual $2.51, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.61 Q1 '26 actual $3.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.19 Q2 '26 actual $3.57, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.66 Q4 '26 estimate $2.82 Q1 '27 estimate $3.48 Q2 '27 estimate $4.09
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy51 ratings
Bullish3466.7%
Neutral1325.5%
Bearish47.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$82.73Current
$36Low
$81.37Average
$130High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
Tigress Financial Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeJul 27, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $82.73. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$101$81.98 +22.1%Oct 9, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$105$81.3 +26.9%Oct 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$112$82.01 +35.4%Oct 7, 2026
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesMark Delaney$112$80.23 +35.4%Oct 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$33$81.95 -60.1%Sep 24, 2026
See 118 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

General Motors Company, a prominent global automotive enterprise, is engaged in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of a wide array of vehicles—including trucks, crossovers (SUVs), and passenger cars—along with related parts and accessories. Its expansive reach covers numerous regions such as North America, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, South America, with significant operations in the United States and China. The company organizes its business into distinct segments: GM North America, GM International, Cruise, and GM Financial. It markets its diverse vehicle lineup under well-known brand names like Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, GMC, Holden, Baojun, and Wuling. Beyond selling to individual consumers through dealerships, GM also supplies its vehicles—including specialized models—to a variety of fleet clients, such as daily rental companies, commercial businesses, leasing firms, and government agencies.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-10T05:50:47.296871+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-10T05:50:47.294086+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-10. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.