General Motors Company · GM · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

GM raises 2025 guidance while managing EV, tariff and warranty risks

The quarter supports a constructive operating narrative: stronger U.S. share, onshoring and high-margin software services could offset softer EV demand and tariff pressure, but execution on cost, warranty and capacity discipline remains important.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $70.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.80 Consensus $2.29
EPS surprise +22.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $48.59B Consensus $45.04B
Revenue surprise +7.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +14.9% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +14.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.0% Up to 20 sessions
GMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management raised full-year 2025 guidance, emphasized expanded U.S. capacity and tariff mitigation, and identified software and services as a larger growth engine. The company also reported a special charge tied to EV capacity right-sizing and related actions.

Guidance delta

Raised versus the prior quarter; the supplied analysis does not include the revised numerical guidance ranges.

Key takeaways

  • Management raised full-year 2025 EBIT and free-cash-flow guidance despite EV softness and tariff impacts.
  • Software and services, including OnStar and Super Cruise, were highlighted as a high-margin growth area.
  • EV demand, tariff exposure, warranty costs and potential overcapacity remain key execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand U.S. production capacity and onshore ICE manufacturing, including a planned V8 engine plant.
  • Scale Chevrolet Equinox EV production and launch redesigned Cadillac models.
  • Accelerate software-defined vehicles, services growth and autonomy milestones.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.15 Q1 '24 actual $2.62, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.75 Q2 '24 actual $3.06, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.43 Q3 '24 actual $2.96, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.34 Q2 '25 actual $2.53, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.29 Q3 '25 actual $2.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.26 Q4 '25 actual $2.51, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.61 Q1 '26 actual $3.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.19 Q2 '26 actual $3.57, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.68 Q4 '26 estimate $2.82 Q1 '27 estimate $3.48 Q2 '27 estimate $4.10
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy51 ratings
Bullish3466.7%
Neutral1325.5%
Bearish47.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$78.27Current
$33Low
$78.02Average
$130High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 14, 2026
Tigress Financial Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeJul 27, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $78.27. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$33$81.95 -57.8%Sep 24, 2026
UBSJoseph Spak$114$85.62 +45.6%Sep 14, 2026
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$130$90.3 +66.1%Jul 28, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$99$82.64 +26.5%Jul 27, 2026
Deutsche BankEdison Yu$100$82.46 +27.8%Jul 22, 2026
See 114 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

General Motors Company, a prominent global automotive enterprise, is engaged in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of a wide array of vehicles—including trucks, crossovers (SUVs), and passenger cars—along with related parts and accessories. Its expansive reach covers numerous regions such as North America, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, South America, with significant operations in the United States and China. The company organizes its business into distinct segments: GM North America, GM International, Cruise, and GM Financial. It markets its diverse vehicle lineup under well-known brand names like Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, GMC, Holden, Baojun, and Wuling. Beyond selling to individual consumers through dealerships, GM also supplies its vehicles—including specialized models—to a variety of fleet clients, such as daily rental companies, commercial businesses, leasing firms, and government agencies.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T08:50:41.598445+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T08:50:41.595436+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.