General Motors Company · GM · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

GM Beats Q2 Estimates, Raises Full-Year Guidance on Pickup Strength and Software Growth

GM's Q2 2026 results reinforced a two-quarter pattern of operational outperformance. EPS of $3.57 beat consensus by 11.9% and revenue of $48.0B exceeded estimates by 2.2%, driven by record full-size pickup deliveries and expanding software and services revenue. The company raised full-year 2026 guidance across EBIT ($14-16B), EPS ($12-14), and adjusted free cash flow ($9.5-11.5B) for the second consecutive quarter. While EV restructuring charges of $2.3B in Q2 were substantial, management indicated the bulk of cash impact is now behind the company. Non-auto businesses — GM Defense and GM Insurance — are emerging as meaningful growth platforms. The market responded positively, with shares rising 4.9% on the report and drifting 13.6% higher subsequently on 1.66x baseline volume. The consensus analyst target of $100.10 sits about 11% above the current price of $90.30, suggesting the…

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $81.67B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

General Motors Company, a prominent global automotive enterprise, is engaged in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of a wide array of vehicles—including trucks, crossovers (SUVs), and passenger cars—along with related parts and accessories. Its expansive reach covers numerous regions such as North America, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, South America, with significant operations in the United States and China. The company organizes its business into distinct segments: GM North America, GM International, Cruise, and GM Financial. It markets its diverse vehicle lineup under well-known brand names like Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, GMC, Holden, Baojun, and Wuling. Beyond selling to individual consumers through dealerships, GM also supplies its vehicles—including specialized models—to a variety of fleet clients, such as daily rental companies, commercial businesses, leasing firms, and government agencies.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.57 Consensus $3
EPS surprise +11.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $48.03B Consensus $47.01B
Revenue surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.15 Q1 '24 actual $2.62, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.75 Q2 '24 actual $3.06, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.43 Q3 '24 actual $2.96, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.34 Q2 '25 actual $2.53, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.29 Q3 '25 actual $2.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.26 Q4 '25 actual $2.51, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.61 Q1 '26 actual $3.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.19 Q2 '26 actual $3.57, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.58 Q4 '26 estimate $2.74 Q1 '27 estimate $3.55 Q2 '27 estimate $3.84
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy51 ratings
Bullish3466.7%
Neutral1325.5%
Bearish47.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$90.3Previous close
$30Low
$77.9Average
$130High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeJul 27, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 22, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJul 22, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 43 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $90.3. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$130$90.3 +44.0%Jul 28, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$99$82.64 +9.6%Jul 27, 2026
Deutsche BankEdison Yu$100$82.46 +10.7%Jul 22, 2026
RBC CapitalTom Narayan$100$79.52 +10.7%Jul 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$101$79.52 +11.8%Jul 22, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$103$79.52 +14.1%Jul 22, 2026
Wells FargoColin Langan$61$79.52 -32.4%Jul 22, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$94$77.84 +4.1%Jul 13, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$100$76.62 +10.7%May 4, 2026
Piper SandlerAlexander Potter$102$76.22 +13.0%Apr 29, 2026
See 107 more

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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.9% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +13.6% Up to 20 sessions
GMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared to Q1 2026, GM maintained its confident tone and raised guidance for the second straight quarter. Key new developments include: confirmed December launch timing for next-gen Silverado and Sierra with new V8 engines, supported by three new propulsion plants and three assembly plants; a NASA partnership supplying battery propulsion technology for the $220M Lunar Outpost contract; a sodium-ion battery partnership with Peak Energy targeting 2027-2028 pilot production; and GM Defense scaling toward approximately $700M in 2026 revenue with a backlog that could exceed $1B from U.S. Army ISV orders. Capex outlook shifted from stable to increasing, reflecting onshoring investments to over 2 million U.S. production units.

Guidance delta

Full-year 2026 guidance was raised across all three metrics: EBIT to $14-16B, EPS to $12-14, and adjusted free cash flow to $9.5-11.5B. This is the second consecutive quarter of raised guidance, following the Q1 2026 increase that was supported by a Supreme Court tariff decision providing a 1.5-point EBIT margin benefit. Management tone remained confident. Capex outlook shifted from stable to increasing due to onshoring investments, which analysts flagged as a potential free cash flow headwind in 2027.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 EPS of $3.57 beat consensus of $3.19 by 11.9%; revenue of $48.0B exceeded estimates by 2.2%.
  • Full-year 2026 guidance raised: EBIT $14-16B, EPS $12-14, adjusted free cash flow $9.5-11.5B — second consecutive quarterly raise.
  • U.S. full-size pickup market share exceeds 42%; next-gen Silverado and Sierra launch in December with three new engine plants.
  • Super Cruise expected to add 1M new users in 2026, with 160K incremental units from new truck trims.
  • EV restructuring charges of $2.3B in Q2; $7.2B total cash impact remains, but management said most material cash charges are now complete.
  • Non-auto businesses scaling: GM Defense targeting ~$700M 2026 revenue with backlog potentially exceeding $1B; GM Insurance covering >80% of U.S. sales.

Management priorities

  • Launch next-gen Silverado and Sierra with new V8 engines in December, ramping three propulsion and three assembly plants.
  • Expand Super Cruise subscriptions and software-enabled services revenue across the vehicle lineup.
  • Scale GM Insurance to >80% of U.S. sales and expand to additional states.
  • Commercialize sodium-ion battery cells with Peak Energy, targeting pilot production by 2027-2028.
  • Onshore U.S. production to >2M units with new V8 engine capacity.
  • Launch next-gen Cadillac ICE models (CT5, XT5, XT6) in 2027-2028.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-21T16:03:32.091003+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-29T01:23:15.868211+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T09:41:47.718811+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T09:41:47.715816+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.