Fastenal Company · FAST · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Fastenal Posts 14.7% Daily Sales Growth as Digital and FMI Expansion Drive Share Gains

Fastenal's Q2 2026 results demonstrate accelerating double-digit sales growth driven by share gains rather than macro tailwinds. Operating margin held steady despite widening gross-margin compression, underscoring the company's ability to offset cost pressure through SG&A leverage and operational discipline. The digital and FMI device ecosystem continues to function as a structural growth engine and leading indicator for future revenue. A CEO transition introduces execution risk, but management signals continuity in strategic priorities. The initial negative market reaction gave way to a positive drift, suggesting investors looked past near-term margin headwinds toward the durable growth platform.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $55.19B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.33 Consensus $0.33
EPS surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.39B Consensus $2.34B
Revenue surprise +2.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.8% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -3.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.5% Up to 20 sessions
FASTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Daily sales growth accelerated to 14.7% from 12.4% in Q1. Gross-margin compression widened from 40 bps to 75 bps year over year, but operating margin remained stable through SG&A leverage. Digital sales ticked up to 61.6% of total from 61.5% prior quarter. Management tone shifted from cautious in Q1 to confident in Q2, and guidance sentiment moved from not provided to maintained. The quarter also introduced a CEO transition to Jeffery Watts with strategic pillars unchanged, and $350M was returned to shareholders.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained, a step up from the prior quarter when no explicit guidance was provided. Management did not issue numerical targets but signaled confidence in continued growth through technology deployment, international expansion, and disciplined capital allocation. The full-year capex plan of $320M (approximately 3.5% of sales) was reaffirmed, and the capex outlook remains increasing.

Key takeaways

  • Double-digit top-line growth of 14.7% was driven by share gains rather than a favorable macro backdrop.
  • Operating margin held steady despite 75 bps of gross-margin compression, thanks to SG&A leverage and cost control.
  • Digital sales reached 61.6% of total, up 60 bps year over year, with a target of 63-64% by end of 2026.
  • Contract count grew over 7% YoY; sites spending $50K+ per month grew 16.5%, delivering 26% revenue growth at those sites.
  • Capital allocation remained disciplined: $60M quarterly capex, $320M planned for full-year 2026, and $350M returned to shareholders.
  • CEO transition to Jeffery Watts was announced; strategic pillars of sales effectiveness, services, and market expansion remain unchanged.

Management priorities

  • Scale digital and FMI technologies to deepen customer penetration and drive higher-margin growth.
  • Accelerate international growth, especially in Europe and other markets outside North America.
  • Maintain disciplined capex at approximately 3.5% of sales focused on hub capacity, automation, and IT infrastructure.
  • Pursue potential acquisitions to fast-track global supply chain capabilities.
  • Return excess cash to shareholders through dividends and opportunistic share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FAST REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, match Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, match Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $3B Q3 '27 estimate $3B
Show 2 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1135.5%
Neutral1754.8%
Bearish39.7%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$51.55Current
$45Low
$54.95Average
$82High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainOct 21, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 15, 2026
Bernstein Underperform UnderperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 16, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $51.55. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$59$51.74 +14.5%Oct 21, 2026
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$60$52 +16.4%Oct 15, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$47$52 -8.8%Oct 15, 2026
D.A. DavidsonChris Dankert$51$50.78 -1.1%Oct 13, 2026
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$54$51.22 +4.8%Aug 7, 2026
See 36 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fastenal Company, along with its associated entities, operates as a global wholesale supplier of industrial and construction materials, with significant operations throughout North America, including the United States, Canada, and Mexico, and other international markets. Branded as Fastenal, the company offers a comprehensive range of fasteners, such as threaded bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and washers, which are vital for manufacturing processes, building developments, and equipment servicing. Beyond fasteners, its product catalog extends to diverse hardware and miscellaneous items like pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire ropes, strut products, and rivets, along with their related accessories.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-14T18:02:57.229422+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-29T01:23:15.868211+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T20:21:23.515763+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T20:21:23.513489+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-07-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.