Brown & Brown, Inc. · BRO · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

BRO Q3: Retail Growth Offsets Specialty Distribution Headwinds

The supplied Q3 analysis supports a mixed outlook for BRO: resilient retail demand, employee-benefits activity, AI initiatives, and Accession integration are constructive, but specialty-market pressure and execution risks limit confidence.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $23.78B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.07 Consensus $1.09
EPS surprise -1.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.73B Consensus $1.76B
Revenue surprise -1.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -5.0% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -5.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
BROSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts the emphasis from broad confidence in organic improvement to a more divided picture: retail exceeded expectations, while Specialty Distribution faced capacity and pricing headwinds. AI deployment and the Accession synergy plan also became more prominent.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; the supplied analysis points to modest retail growth and a slight Q4 decline in Specialty Distribution.

Key takeaways

  • Retail and employee-benefits demand were important supports in the quarter.
  • Specialty Distribution missed expectations amid capacity and pricing pressure.
  • Management is positioning COMPASS and broader AI adoption as productivity and customer-service tools.
  • Accession integration remains central to the company’s synergy and growth plan.

Management priorities

  • Deploy COMPASS AI tools broadly, with rollout to thousands of teammates planned for 2027.
  • Continue hiring producers and investing in European wholesale and technology infrastructure.
  • Pursue selective acquisitions while maintaining disciplined capital allocation.
  • Advance Accession integration and its associated synergy program.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BRO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.88 Q2 '24 actual $0.93, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.88 Q3 '24 actual $0.91, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.99 Q2 '25 actual $1.03, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.94 Q3 '25 actual $1.05, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.91 Q4 '25 actual $0.93, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.36 Q1 '26 actual $1.39, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.08 Q2 '26 actual $1.07, match Q3 '26 estimate $1.09 Q3 '26 actual $1.07, miss Q4 '26 estimate $0.94 Q1 '27 estimate $1.48 Q2 '27 estimate $1.15 Q3 '27 estimate $1.20
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1032.3%
Neutral2064.5%
Bearish13.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$67.55Current
$55Low
$85.47Average
$115High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainOct 12, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 7, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 7, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Show 26 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $67.55. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$73$60.97 +8.1%Oct 7, 2026
Truist FinancialMark Hughes$90$75.44 +33.2%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$55$70 -18.6%Jul 6, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$88$80.37 +30.3%Dec 23, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$89$82.34 +31.8%Dec 15, 2025
See 15 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Brown & Brown, Inc. operates as an insurance brokerage firm, providing a diverse range of products and services throughout the United States, Bermuda, Canada, Ireland, the United Kingdom, and the Cayman Islands. The company's operations are strategically divided into four primary segments: Retail, National Programs, Wholesale Brokerage, and Services. The Retail division delivers a comprehensive suite of property and casualty, employee benefits, personal, and specialized insurance offerings, complemented by services such as loss control assessments, consulting, and claims processing. This segment caters to a broad spectrum of clients, including commercial entities, public and quasi-public organizations, professionals, and individuals.…

Historical context

All BRO earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-27T16:12:18.760092+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-27T01:23:15.065758+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T21:50:43.195553+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T21:50:43.192917+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.