Credicorp Ltd. · BAP · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Credicorp maintains 2026 guidance as lending and fee growth meet El Niño risks

Credicorp’s Q3 operating momentum—strong loan growth, higher fee income and improving asset quality—supports a constructive operating picture, but El Niño exposure and slowing growth in Yape’s revenue-generating transactions temper the case for durable growth.

Why did BAP rise 3.3% after missing EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?

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Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $29.21B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $7.06 Consensus $7.25
EPS surprise -2.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.93B Consensus $1.92B
Revenue surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus
Check the math in the surprise calculator >

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.3% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +3.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
BAPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with Q2, management maintained rather than raised 2026 guidance. Q3 ROE was 19.9%, and the loan book grew 14.8% year over year; management also described improved asset quality and fee income growth above 20%. El Niño exposure was quantified at 8% of the loan portfolio, while Yape reached 17 million monthly active users but transaction-volume growth slowed amid market saturation.

Guidance delta

2026 guidance was maintained, with management citing El Niño risks. The prior quarter analysis reported that guidance had been raised, including a higher loan-growth outlook and a medium-term ROE target of approximately 22%; this quarter’s analysis says Q3 ROE keeps Credicorp on track for that target.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 ROE was 19.9%; management said this keeps Credicorp on track for its medium-term 22% target.
  • The loan book grew 14.8% year over year, led by retail lending at BCP and Mibanco.
  • The NPL ratio fell to 3.9%, coverage rose to 120.9%, and risk-adjusted NIM improved to 5.7%.
  • Fee income grew more than 20% year over year, while Yape transaction growth slowed despite 17 million monthly active users.
  • Management maintained 2026 guidance and said no extraordinary dividend payout would be declared.

Management priorities

  • Expand Yape services, including cross-border payments and additional lending products.
  • Scale Tenpo and Eo credit-card businesses in Chile, subject to execution and licensing progress.
  • Continue investment in digital capabilities and risk-management technology.
  • Provide a strategic update on ecosystem integration and growth initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BAP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1B Q4 '23 actual $1B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, match Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '27 estimate $7B Q2 '27 estimate $7B Q3 '27 estimate $7B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy14 ratings
Bullish964.3%
Neutral535.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$367.4Current
$154Low
$323.71Average
$480High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 16, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeJun 17, 2026
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeMay 19, 2026
Show 9 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $367.4. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSThiago Batista$473$368.98 +28.7%Aug 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyJorge Kuri$480$364.28 +30.6%Jun 17, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$412$342.85 +12.1%May 26, 2026
HSBCCarlos Gomez-Lopez$350$303.86 -4.7%May 19, 2026
UBSThiago Batista$408$340.01 +11.1%Apr 21, 2026
See 5 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Credicorp Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking services and products in Peru, Bermuda, Colombia, Bolivia, Panama, Chile, the United States, the Cayman Islands, and Mexico. It operates through Universal Banking; Insurance, Medical Services, and Pensions; Microfinance; and Investment Management and Advisory segments. The company grants various credits and financial instruments to individuals and legal entities; and various deposits and current accounts. It also issues insurance policies to cover losses in commercial property, transport, marine vessels, automobiles, life, health, and pensions; provides medical and health services, as well as management services of private pension funds to the affiliates.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-11T02:14:00.071978+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-11T01:23:13.633975+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-11T02:20:45.287933+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-11T02:20:45.285166+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.