Credicorp Ltd. · BAP · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026
Credicorp maintains 2026 guidance as lending and fee growth meet El Niño risks
Credicorp’s Q3 operating momentum—strong loan growth, higher fee income and improving asset quality—supports a constructive operating picture, but El Niño exposure and slowing growth in Yape’s revenue-generating transactions temper the case for durable growth.
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Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with Q2, management maintained rather than raised 2026 guidance. Q3 ROE was 19.9%, and the loan book grew 14.8% year over year; management also described improved asset quality and fee income growth above 20%. El Niño exposure was quantified at 8% of the loan portfolio, while Yape reached 17 million monthly active users but transaction-volume growth slowed amid market saturation.
Guidance delta
2026 guidance was maintained, with management citing El Niño risks. The prior quarter analysis reported that guidance had been raised, including a higher loan-growth outlook and a medium-term ROE target of approximately 22%; this quarter’s analysis says Q3 ROE keeps Credicorp on track for that target.
Key takeaways
- Q3 ROE was 19.9%; management said this keeps Credicorp on track for its medium-term 22% target.
- The loan book grew 14.8% year over year, led by retail lending at BCP and Mibanco.
- The NPL ratio fell to 3.9%, coverage rose to 120.9%, and risk-adjusted NIM improved to 5.7%.
- Fee income grew more than 20% year over year, while Yape transaction growth slowed despite 17 million monthly active users.
- Management maintained 2026 guidance and said no extraordinary dividend payout would be declared.
Management priorities
- Expand Yape services, including cross-border payments and additional lending products.
- Scale Tenpo and Eo credit-card businesses in Chile, subject to execution and licensing progress.
- Continue investment in digital capabilities and risk-management technology.
- Provide a strategic update on ecosystem integration and growth initiatives.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 20, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Jun 17, 2026 |
| HSBC | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 19, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 20, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | Jul 7, 2023 |
| Itau BBA | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jan 3, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Jul 19, 2022 |
| Santander | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 23, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 7, 2020 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Mar 15, 2016 |
| Raymond James | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 15, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $367.4. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Thiago Batista | $473 | $368.98 | +28.7% | Aug 20, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jorge Kuri | $480 | $364.28 | +30.6% | Jun 17, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $412 | $342.85 | +12.1% | May 26, 2026 |
| HSBC | Carlos Gomez-Lopez | $350 | $303.86 | -4.7% | May 19, 2026 |
| UBS | Thiago Batista | $408 | $340.01 | +11.1% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| UBS | Thiago Batista | $318 | $267.1 | -13.4% | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jorge Kuri | $195 | $185 | -46.9% | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Ernesto Gabilondo | $190 | $185 | -48.3% | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Bradesco | Gustavo Schroden | $207 | $161.88 | -43.7% | Apr 18, 2024 |
| BTG Pactual | Alonso Aramburu | $154 | $129.38 | -58.1% | Sep 9, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationCredicorp Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking services and products in Peru, Bermuda, Colombia, Bolivia, Panama, Chile, the United States, the Cayman Islands, and Mexico. It operates through Universal Banking; Insurance, Medical Services, and Pensions; Microfinance; and Investment Management and Advisory segments. The company grants various credits and financial instruments to individuals and legal entities; and various deposits and current accounts. It also issues insurance policies to cover losses in commercial property, transport, marine vessels, automobiles, life, health, and pensions; provides medical and health services, as well as management services of private pension funds to the affiliates.…
Historical context
All BAP earningsFinancial Services peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIB Grupo Cibest S.A. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -10.1% | -4.0% | Grupo Cibest raises loan-growth outlook as commercial lending and Nequi underpin Q3 |
| MGRE Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +8.1% | +0.6% | AMG: Alternatives drive record Q3 as firm maintains Q4 outlook |
| MGRD Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +8.1% | +1.4% | AMG’s Q3 Growth Centers on Alternatives, Inflows and Buybacks |
| MGRB Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +8.1% | +1.4% | AMG’s alternatives-led growth strengthens, while revenue misses estimates |
| AMG Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +8.1% | +5.6% | AMG posts record Q3, with alternatives driving inflows and earnings |
| KKR KKR & Co. Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +12.7% | +1.7% | KKR’s record quarter pairs fee growth with deployment and liquidity |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- VGFY2026 Q3 · November 10, 2026+92.7% EPS+1.7% move
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Missed on EPS
- EMBJFY2026 Q3 · November 10, 2026-49.4% EPS+7.0% move
- VODFY2027 Q2 · November 10, 2026-72.8% EPS-1.2% move
- SEFY2026 Q3 · November 10, 2026-5.1% EPS-1.5% move
- JBSFY2026 Q3 · November 9, 2026-28.6% EPS-5.5% move
- CIBFY2026 Q3 · November 9, 2026-10.1% EPS-4.0% move
- ASTSFY2026 Q3 · November 9, 2026-8.9% EPS-2.3% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-11T02:14:00.071978+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-11T01:23:13.633975+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-11T02:20:45.287933+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-11T02:20:45.285166+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.