Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. · MGRB · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

AMG’s alternatives-led growth strengthens, while revenue misses estimates

AMG’s Q3 analysis supports a growth case built on alternatives, private-market demand and capital returns. The evidence is not uniformly positive: revenue was below estimates, and several growth drivers remain exposed to regulatory, political and flow-related risks.

Why did MGRB rise 1.4% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?

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Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $10.38B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $9.50 Consensus $8.79
EPS surprise +8.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $595.2M Consensus $655.1M
Revenue surprise -9.1% Reported versus consensus
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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.4% Event window
SPY move +2.4% Same window
Abnormal move -1.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.9% Up to 20 sessions
MGRBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied analysis describes record Q3 AUM, 41% year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth and strong alternative-strategy inflows. Alternatives now represent roughly 70% of EBITDA, versus over 60% in the prior-quarter analysis. The scorecard shows EPS above estimates but revenue below estimates.

Guidance delta

Management lifted its full-year share-repurchase guidance to above $900 million. Q4 outlook is adjusted EBITDA of $405–$475 million and EPS of $11.37–$13.43; the supplied analysis does not give a comparable prior-quarter Q4 outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Alternatives, including secondaries, infrastructure and liquid strategies, remain central to AMG’s growth narrative.
  • The supplied analysis reports record Q3 AUM and adjusted EBITDA up 41% year over year.
  • The scorecard indicates an EPS beat alongside a revenue miss versus estimates.
  • Management raised full-year share-repurchase guidance above $900 million and provided Q4 EBITDA and EPS ranges.

Management priorities

  • Expand secondary, infrastructure, absolute-return and tax-aware strategies.
  • Pursue new affiliate investments and increase stakes in existing affiliates.
  • Use free cash flow to support growth initiatives, partnerships and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MGRB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 7 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $4.75, None Q2 '25 estimate $5.29 Q2 '25 actual $2.61, miss Q3 '25 estimate $5.89 Q3 '25 actual $6.44, beat Q4 '25 estimate $8.86 Q4 '25 actual $9.48, beat Q1 '26 estimate $8.15 Q1 '26 actual $4.12, miss Q2 '26 estimate $7.90 Q2 '26 actual $8.29, beat Q3 '26 estimate $8.79 Q3 '26 actual $9.50, beat Q4 '26 estimate $10.76 Q1 '27 estimate $8.47 Q2 '27 estimate $8.30 Q3 '27 estimate $8.57

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. specializes in providing investment management solutions. The company offers a comprehensive suite of strategies that encompass diverse asset classes focused on generating returns, in addition to various investment product types. William J. Nutt founded the firm in December 1993, and its corporate headquarters are located in West Palm Beach, Florida.

Historical context

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Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-09T22:07:00.270743+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-11T01:23:13.633975+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-11T01:50:43.182663+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.