The Williams Companies, Inc. · WMB · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Williams posts record Q3 EBITDA; holds 2026 guidance

Williams’ record Q3 adjusted EBITDA and progress integrating Momentum Midstream support its growth narrative, while maintained guidance and permitting, leverage and project-execution risks temper the outlook. The call analysis says management sees a long-term growth path above 11% CAGR through 2030, with a 16% high-end scenario discussed; those remain forward targets, not achieved results.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $87.08B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.54 Consensus $0.54
EPS surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.22B Consensus $2.99B
Revenue surprise +7.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.5% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +2.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
WMBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with Q2, the Momentum Midstream acquisition has closed and management described early synergy capture; Socrates Phase II is nearing commissioning ahead of schedule and within budget. Q3 adjusted EBITDA exceeded $2 billion, placing Williams in the upper half of its 2026 guidance range. Management maintained, rather than raised, its 2026 guidance, following the prior quarter’s increase.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance and capex guidance. Q3 results put the company in the upper half of its EBITDA range; the supplied analysis does not indicate a new numerical guidance range or a change to it this quarter.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q3 adjusted EBITDA above $2 billion places Williams in the upper half of its 2026 guidance range.
  • Management said the Momentum acquisition closed ahead of schedule, with early synergies, and Socrates Phase II is expected online ahead of schedule and within budget.
  • The call pointed to pipeline and storage expansions, power projects, and long-term contracted demand as growth drivers; management maintained its 2026 outlook.

Management priorities

  • Advance Transco, SESI Phase II and Garden Connector expansions, including a possible SESI Phase III and a Garden Connector upsize.
  • Commission Socrates Phase II and announce one or two additional power projects by year-end, as described on the call.
  • Pursue natural-gas storage expansions and retain flexibility for M&A or joint-venture financing.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WMB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.38 Q2 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.42 Q3 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.48 Q2 '25 actual $0.46, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.52 Q3 '25 actual $0.49, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.57 Q4 '25 actual $0.55, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.63 Q1 '26 actual $0.73, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.50 Q2 '26 actual $0.50, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.54 Q3 '26 actual $0.54, match Q4 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '27 estimate $0.66
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2678.8%
Neutral721.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$73Current
$28Low
$61.98Average
$103High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
CIBC Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 22, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainSep 10, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 18, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 12, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $73. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$82$70.04 +12.3%Oct 22, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$85$73.97 +16.4%Oct 13, 2026
BarclaysTheresa Chen$82$67.97 +12.3%Oct 1, 2026
Williams TradingAnalyst unavailable$92$72.12 +26.0%Sep 22, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$85$73.54 +16.4%Sep 10, 2026
See 77 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Williams Companies, Inc., alongside its subsidiaries, operates as a prominent energy infrastructure entity, primarily conducting business throughout the United States. The company’s operations are organized into four key segments: Transmission & Gulf of Mexico, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services. The Transmission & Gulf of Mexico division manages crucial natural gas pipelines such as Transco and Northwest, in addition to natural gas gathering and processing, and crude oil production handling and transportation assets situated in the Gulf Coast. This segment also oversees various petrochemical and feedstock pipelines. Focusing on midstream activities, the Northeast G&P segment handles gathering, processing, and fractionation within the Marcellus Shale region, predominantly in Pennsylvania and New York, and the Utica Shale region of eastern Ohio.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-03T16:08:25.576304+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-03T01:23:13.143323+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-03T16:30:56.578657+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-03T16:30:56.575760+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.