The Williams Companies, Inc. · WMB · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Williams: LNG and power backlog support growth, execution remains key

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Williams has identified durable demand drivers in LNG, transmission, storage, and power for constrained markets, while its backlog and project pipeline provide potential visibility. The case depends on converting that backlog into projects on schedule and within acceptable returns, with permitting, procurement, and customer concentration as material checks.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $83.95B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.49 Consensus $0.52
EPS surprise -5.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.92B Consensus $2.88B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -4.3% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -3.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.9% Up to 20 sessions
WMBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, the company’s growth narrative became more centered on LNG integration and Power Innovation. The supplied current analysis adds the Woodside-related Line 200 and Louisiana LNG developments, a larger Power Innovation backlog, and higher capital expenditure, while guidance sentiment remained maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management continued to frame the business around a 9% annual growth outlook, while capital expenditure increased to support additional Power Innovation and LNG investments.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted rising LNG demand, data-center and grid-related power needs, and expanding transmission capacity as growth drivers.
  • The Power Innovation business was described as having a $5 billion, 6 GW backlog with projects extending through 2027–2028.
  • The quarter added strategic LNG and asset-portfolio developments, but execution, permitting, and equipment procurement remain important constraints.

Management priorities

  • Scale Power Innovation sites and pursue additional greenfield opportunities.
  • Develop LNG, transmission, and storage assets across the Transco and related corridors.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation while advancing major projects and partnerships.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WMB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.48 Q1 '24 actual $0.59, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.38 Q2 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.42 Q3 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.48 Q2 '25 actual $0.46, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.52 Q3 '25 actual $0.49, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.57 Q4 '25 actual $0.55, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.63 Q1 '26 actual $0.73, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.50 Q2 '26 actual $0.50, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.53 Q4 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '27 estimate $0.66
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2678.8%
Neutral721.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$68.05Current
$28Low
$60.94Average
$103High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainSep 10, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 18, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 12, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $68.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Williams TradingAnalyst unavailable$92$72.12 +35.2%Sep 22, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$85$73.54 +24.9%Sep 10, 2026
Williams TradingAnalyst unavailable$103$71.08 +51.4%Aug 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$103$75.54 +51.4%Aug 18, 2026
Wells FargoPraneeth Satish$90$71.51 +32.3%Aug 5, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Williams Companies, Inc., alongside its subsidiaries, operates as a prominent energy infrastructure entity, primarily conducting business throughout the United States. The company’s operations are organized into four key segments: Transmission & Gulf of Mexico, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services. The Transmission & Gulf of Mexico division manages crucial natural gas pipelines such as Transco and Northwest, in addition to natural gas gathering and processing, and crude oil production handling and transportation assets situated in the Gulf Coast. This segment also oversees various petrochemical and feedstock pipelines. Focusing on midstream activities, the Northeast G&P segment handles gathering, processing, and fractionation within the Marcellus Shale region, predominantly in Pennsylvania and New York, and the Utica Shale region of eastern Ohio.…

Historical context

All WMB earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T18:26:12.505018+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T18:26:12.501837+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.