The Williams Companies, Inc. · WMB · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

WMB raises 2026 EBITDA guidance as power projects and Momentum expand growth

The supplied Q2 analysis supports a constructive but conditional growth case: higher EBITDA guidance, Power Innovation commercialization, the Blackstone joint venture, and the Momentum acquisition strengthen the demand and capacity backdrop. The case still depends on execution, regulatory progress, project financing, and sustained demand from LNG and data-center power customers.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $87.64B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.50 Consensus $0.50
EPS surprise -0.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.05B Consensus $2.83B
Revenue surprise +7.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.5% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.2% Up to 20 sessions
WMBSPY benchmark

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What changed

Versus the prior-quarter analysis, management moved from a plan centered on an expanding backlog and upper-half guidance toward a higher $8.3-$8.5 billion 2026 EBITDA outlook. The quarter also added the in-service Socrates milestone, a Blackstone financing joint venture, and the Momentum Midstream acquisition, while leverage was described as remaining disciplined.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance to $8.3-$8.5 billion from the prior-quarter outlook, which had targeted the upper half of the previous range.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported 6% year-over-year EBITDA growth in Q2 2026 and raised full-year EBITDA guidance to $8.3-$8.5 billion.
  • Phase 1 of the Socrates Power Innovation project entered service, and management described the Blackstone joint venture as adding low-cost equity capacity for future projects.
  • The Momentum Midstream acquisition expands Williams' Haynesville footprint and adds gathering and take-or-pay pipeline capacity.
  • Shelby Connector, Delta Access, and Transco expansion projects are positioned to serve LNG and data-center power demand.
  • Leverage remained about 3.75x-3.9x, preserving financing flexibility, while equipment, talent, regulatory timing, and gas prices remain watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Commercialize additional Power Innovation projects, including Phase 2 Socrates, Aquila, and Apollo.
  • Build and place the Shelby Connector and Delta Access pipelines into service.
  • Continue Transco expansion through Southeast and Northeast Supply Enhancements.
  • Use joint-venture financing structures for future power projects.
  • Scale talent and operating capacity to run multiple behind-the-meter projects concurrently.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WMB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.48 Q1 '24 actual $0.59, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.38 Q2 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.42 Q3 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.48 Q2 '25 actual $0.46, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.52 Q3 '25 actual $0.49, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.57 Q4 '25 actual $0.55, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.63 Q1 '26 actual $0.73, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.50 Q2 '26 actual $0.50, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.53 Q4 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '27 estimate $0.66
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2678.8%
Neutral721.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$70.98Current
$28Low
$61.17Average
$103High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainSep 10, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 18, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 12, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $70.98. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$85$73.54 +19.8%Sep 10, 2026
Williams TradingAnalyst unavailable$103$71.08 +45.1%Aug 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$103$75.54 +45.1%Aug 18, 2026
Wells FargoPraneeth Satish$90$71.51 +26.8%Aug 5, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$83$75.42 +16.9%Jul 14, 2026
See 73 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Williams Companies, Inc., alongside its subsidiaries, operates as a prominent energy infrastructure entity, primarily conducting business throughout the United States. The company’s operations are organized into four key segments: Transmission & Gulf of Mexico, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services. The Transmission & Gulf of Mexico division manages crucial natural gas pipelines such as Transco and Northwest, in addition to natural gas gathering and processing, and crude oil production handling and transportation assets situated in the Gulf Coast. This segment also oversees various petrochemical and feedstock pipelines. Focusing on midstream activities, the Northeast G&P segment handles gathering, processing, and fractionation within the Marcellus Shale region, predominantly in Pennsylvania and New York, and the Utica Shale region of eastern Ohio.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T20:12:46.555637+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-08T01:23:13.784197+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T00:10:54.538965+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T00:10:54.536040+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.