United Rentals, Inc. · URI · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

United Rentals raises 2025 outlook as specialty demand strengthens

The current analysis supports a constructive near-term operating view: record Q2 performance, specialty and utility growth, and raised 2025 guidance strengthen the case for resilient demand. The main test is whether ancillary-cost normalization and project demand support sustained margins and free cash flow.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $67.26B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $10.47 Consensus $10.51
EPS surprise -0.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.94B Consensus $3.89B
Revenue surprise +1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +9.0% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +8.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.7% Up to 20 sessions
URISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, management moved from maintaining to raising 2025 guidance. Utility exposure increased following the Yak acquisition, while ancillary delivery costs became a more prominent margin issue; management expects those costs to decelerate in the second half.

Guidance delta

Raised for 2025 revenue, EBITDA, and free cash flow versus the prior quarter's maintained outlook; revised figures are not supplied in the analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 produced record revenue and EBITDA, with growth led by industrial, construction, utility, and specialty rental demand.
  • The Yak acquisition expanded the utility vertical and added ancillary services, while delivery costs created near-term margin pressure.
  • Management expects ancillary costs to normalize in the second half and continues to emphasize disciplined capital allocation.

Management priorities

  • Invest in specialty equipment, ancillary services, and telematics.
  • Integrate Yak and cross-sell across the utility vertical.
  • Maintain capital expenditure, pursue selective M&A, and return excess cash through buybacks and dividends.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
URI REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $4B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $5B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish2767.5%
Neutral820.0%
Bearish512.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,039.28Current
$269Low
$991.11Average
$1,421High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 24, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 10, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 11, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,039.28. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,395$1,077.36 +34.2%Oct 5, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$1,170$1,028.77 +12.6%Sep 10, 2026
Argus ResearchKristina Ruggeri$1,250$1,142.14 +20.3%Aug 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$1,335$1,137.96 +28.5%Jul 24, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$1,350$1,139.71 +29.9%Jul 24, 2026
See 53 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

United Rentals, Inc., founded in 1997 and headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, functions as a prominent equipment rental firm through its various subsidiaries. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: General Rentals and Specialty. The General Rentals segment offers a broad selection of construction and industrial machinery, including heavy equipment like backhoes, skid-steer loaders, earthmoving machinery, and forklifts, alongside aerial work platforms such as boom and scissor lifts. This division also provides general tools and lighter equipment, ranging from pressure washers to power tools. Its client base is diverse, encompassing construction and industrial enterprises, manufacturers, utility companies, municipalities, government bodies, and individual homeowners. Conversely, the Specialty segment focuses on more specialized construction products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T15:20:43.119310+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T15:20:43.116565+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.