Conagra Brands, Inc. · CAG · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026
Conagra maintains outlook while increasing brand investment and simplifying SKUs
The quarter supports a measured view: Conagra is pairing brand investment and portfolio simplification with deleveraging, but the near-term case depends on managing inflation, protecting volumes and executing the planned changes.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Management highlighted a higher A&P allocation of 3% of net sales, a workstream to reduce more than 400 single-serve meal SKUs and exits from low-profit brands such as Celeste Pizza. The company also identified a $250 million debt-paydown plan; these priorities add execution demands while the outlook remains maintained.
Guidance delta
Maintained: Q2 organic sales are expected to decline 2%, consistent with prior guidance; FY27 inflation is projected at 5%-6%, with greater pressure in Q2 and Q3.
Key takeaways
- Management reaffirmed the Q2 organic sales outlook and described inflation as a larger near-term pressure in Q2 and Q3.
- A&P spending is set to rise to 3% of net sales, focused on meat snacks, popcorn and single-serve meals.
- SKU and brand simplification is intended to improve efficiency, including exiting low-profit lines.
- Management plans $250 million of debt paydown and targets 3x leverage over the longer term.
Management priorities
- Increase A&P investment and strengthen brands in core snack and meal categories.
- Accelerate SKU and brand simplification, including reducing low-profit lines.
- Execute debt paydown and refinance upcoming notes while maintaining a largely fixed-rate debt profile.
- Invest in innovation and marketing across meat snacks, popcorn and single-serve meals.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 17, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Underperform | Market Perform | Downgrade | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | May 18, 2026 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 21, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Apr 2, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Dec 22, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 28, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 31, 2023 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 11, 2020 |
| CFRA | Strong Buy | Buy | Upgrade | Mar 12, 2020 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 30, 2017 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 12, 2016 |
| Keybanc | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 18, 2014 |
| S&P Capital IQ | Buy | Strong Buy | Downgrade | Dec 19, 2013 |
| Edward Jones | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Dec 13, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $13.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $13 | $14.16 | -3.3% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Steve Powers | $13 | $15.12 | -3.3% | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $12.5 | $14.61 | -7.0% | Sep 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Peter Grom | $14 | $14.44 | +4.2% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $14 | $14.28 | +4.2% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $16 | $14.04 | +19.0% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $16 | $13.89 | +19.0% | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Steve Powers | $12 | $13.16 | -10.7% | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Megan Alexander Clapp | $13 | $12.66 | -3.3% | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Coker Palmer | Thomas Palmer | $14 | $12.66 | +4.2% | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $12 | $12.86 | -10.7% | Jun 3, 2026 |
| UBS | Peter Grom | $13 | $12.92 | -3.3% | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Megan Alexander Clapp | $15 | $14.53 | +11.6% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $15 | $14.84 | +11.6% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $16 | $15.55 | +19.0% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Chris Carey | $15 | $16.98 | +11.6% | Mar 12, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $19.52 | +48.8% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Megan Alexander Clapp | $18 | $17.38 | +33.9% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $17.05 | +33.9% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Alexia Howard | $18 | $17.48 | +33.9% | Dec 29, 2025 |
| UBS | Peter Grom | $18 | $17.26 | +33.9% | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Steve Powers | $18 | $17.3 | +33.9% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $17.36 | +41.4% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | David Palmer | $22 | $17.36 | +63.7% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $17.35 | +48.8% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Nik Modi | $22 | $17.74 | +63.7% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $17.83 | +41.4% | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $17.6 | +33.9% | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $17.44 | +41.4% | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $16 | $17.52 | +19.0% | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Chris Carey | $20 | $19.3 | +48.8% | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Megan Alexander Clapp | $20 | $19.4 | +48.8% | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Alexia Howard | $21 | $19.4 | +56.3% | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Megan Alexander | $22 | $20.52 | +63.7% | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | David Palmer | $26 | $20.99 | +93.5% | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Rob Dickerson | $30 | $32.31 | +123.2% | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Coker Palmer | Thomas Palmer | $33 | $32.31 | +145.5% | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Leah Jordan | $36 | $29.82 | +167.9% | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Smith | $30 | $28.38 | +123.2% | Jul 12, 2024 |
| Barclays | Andrew Lazar | $34 | $31.09 | +153.0% | Apr 8, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Chris Carey | $32 | $30.64 | +138.1% | Apr 5, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Smith | $32 | $30.64 | +138.1% | Apr 5, 2024 |
| Coker Palmer | Thomas Palmer | $32 | $30.64 | +138.1% | Apr 5, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Pamela Kaufman | $32 | $30.64 | +138.1% | Apr 5, 2024 |
| CFRA | Arun Sundaram | $34 | $30.64 | +153.0% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | David Palmer | $32 | $29.06 | +138.1% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Nik Modi | $29 | $29.58 | +115.8% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Smith | $43 | $35.96 | +219.9% | May 19, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Steve Powers | $35 | $35.52 | +160.4% | Mar 20, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Conagra Brands | $38 | $40.58 | +182.7% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $43 | $41 | +219.9% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $48 | $40.5 | +257.1% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $40.66 | +234.8% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $39.97 | +197.6% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $38.77 | +212.5% | Dec 29, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Pamela Kaufman | $45 | $38.49 | +234.8% | Dec 20, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Steve Powers | $34 | $38.25 | +153.0% | Dec 6, 2022 |
| UBS | Cody Ross | $41 | $35.81 | +205.1% | Nov 18, 2022 |
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $33.91 | +212.5% | Nov 15, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Pamela Kaufman | $34 | $33.83 | +153.0% | Jul 15, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Pamela Kaufman | $36 | $35.11 | +167.9% | Jan 14, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Wendy Nicholson | $37 | $32.96 | +175.3% | Jul 14, 2021 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Christopher Growe | $35 | $32.96 | +160.4% | Jul 14, 2021 |
| Barclays | Andrew Lazar | $39 | $32.96 | +190.2% | Jul 14, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationConagra Brands, Inc., a prominent manufacturer of packaged food products, conducts its business across North America through its various subsidiary companies. The firm organizes its extensive operations into four distinct segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. The Grocery & Snacks division primarily distributes non-perishable food items through various retail channels within the United States. In contrast, the Refrigerated & Frozen segment focuses on supplying temperature-sensitive food products to comparable U.S. retail outlets.…
Historical context
All CAG earningsConsumer Defensive peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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| GIS General Mills, Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +4.6% | +1.0% | General Mills leans on mix, innovation and e-commerce amid pressure |
| KR The Kroger Co. | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +2.8% | +2.7% | Kroger: Strong digital growth offsets softer sales outlook |
| CPB Campbell Soup Company | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +1.1% | -7.0% | Campbell’s leans on savings and innovation amid pressured demand |
| BF-A Brown-Forman Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +3.0% | — | Brown-Forman holds FY27 outlook as RTD innovation offsets barrel pressure |
| BF-B Brown-Forman Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | 0.0% | — | Brown-Forman maintains FY27 outlook as innovation offsets pressure |
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-01T12:06:24.101060+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-01T01:23:08.245602+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T12:26:05.306364+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T12:26:05.304515+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.