Conagra Brands, Inc. · CAG · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026

Conagra maintains outlook while increasing brand investment and simplifying SKUs

The quarter supports a measured view: Conagra is pairing brand investment and portfolio simplification with deleveraging, but the near-term case depends on managing inflation, protecting volumes and executing the planned changes.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $6.44B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.41 Consensus $0.28
EPS surprise +44.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.60B Consensus $2.59B
Revenue surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.9% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -4.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
CAGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted a higher A&P allocation of 3% of net sales, a workstream to reduce more than 400 single-serve meal SKUs and exits from low-profit brands such as Celeste Pizza. The company also identified a $250 million debt-paydown plan; these priorities add execution demands while the outlook remains maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained: Q2 organic sales are expected to decline 2%, consistent with prior guidance; FY27 inflation is projected at 5%-6%, with greater pressure in Q2 and Q3.

Key takeaways

  • Management reaffirmed the Q2 organic sales outlook and described inflation as a larger near-term pressure in Q2 and Q3.
  • A&P spending is set to rise to 3% of net sales, focused on meat snacks, popcorn and single-serve meals.
  • SKU and brand simplification is intended to improve efficiency, including exiting low-profit lines.
  • Management plans $250 million of debt paydown and targets 3x leverage over the longer term.

Management priorities

  • Increase A&P investment and strengthen brands in core snack and meal categories.
  • Accelerate SKU and brand simplification, including reducing low-profit lines.
  • Execute debt paydown and refinance upcoming notes while maintaining a largely fixed-rate debt profile.
  • Invest in innovation and marketing across meat snacks, popcorn and single-serve meals.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CAG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.68 Q2 '24 actual $0.71, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.65 Q3 '24 actual $0.69, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.57 Q4 '24 actual $0.61, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.59 Q1 '25 actual $0.53, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.58 Q4 '25 actual $0.56, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.33 Q1 '26 actual $0.39, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.44 Q2 '26 actual $0.45, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.40 Q3 '26 actual $0.39, miss Q4 '26 estimate $0.46 Q4 '26 actual $0.47, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.28 Q1 '27 actual $0.41, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.40 Q3 '27 estimate $0.37 Q4 '27 estimate $0.38 Q1 '28 estimate $0.32
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold24 ratings
Bullish625.0%
Neutral1458.3%
Bearish416.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$13.17Current
$12Low
$23.75Average
$43High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 29, 2026
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainSep 18, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 17, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 16, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $13.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$13$14.16 -1.3%Sep 29, 2026
Deutsche BankSteve Powers$13$15.12 -1.3%Sep 18, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$12.5$14.61 -5.1%Sep 14, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$14$14.44 +6.3%Jul 16, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$14$14.28 +6.3%Jul 16, 2026
See 59 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Conagra Brands, Inc., a prominent manufacturer of packaged food products, conducts its business across North America through its various subsidiary companies. The firm organizes its extensive operations into four distinct segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. The Grocery & Snacks division primarily distributes non-perishable food items through various retail channels within the United States. In contrast, the Refrigerated & Frozen segment focuses on supplying temperature-sensitive food products to comparable U.S. retail outlets.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-01T12:06:24.101060+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-01T01:23:08.245602+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T12:26:05.306364+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T12:26:05.304515+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.