Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. · TMO · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025
Thermo Fisher: Growth Broadens as 2025 Outlook Turns More Constructive
The latest transcript supports a constructive but conditional view: broader end-market growth, innovation, services expansion, and productivity initiatives strengthen the case for continued earnings growth, while policy, China, mix, foreign exchange, and pandemic-runoff risks limit confidence.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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What changed
Versus the prior-quarter analysis, the narrative shifted from flat organic growth and a gradual recovery to reported Q4 growth across all end-markets, highlighted market-share gains, a larger innovation pipeline, and a raised 2025 outlook. The risk set remains similar but now places greater emphasis on policy uncertainty and the feasibility of margin expansion.
Guidance delta
Management's guidance sentiment remained raised, with a 2025 outlook of $43.5–$44 billion in revenue and $23.10–$23.50 adjusted EPS, alongside a stated 3–4% organic-growth outlook.
Key takeaways
- Management described Q4 revenue growth across all four end-markets and highlighted market-share gains.
- The product pipeline and pharma-services expansion remain central to the growth case.
- The main counterweights are policy uncertainty, China timing, foreign exchange, and pandemic-related runoff.
Management priorities
- Advance new instruments, reagents, and other product launches.
- Scale Accelerator Drug Development and integrate Olink and Binding Site capabilities.
- Maintain productivity, targeted capital spending, shareholder returns, and selected strategic M&A.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 27, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 6, 2026 |
| HSBC | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 8, 2026 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Sector Weight | Upgrade | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 29, 2025 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Leerink Partners | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 22, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | Jul 11, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 10, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Jul 13, 2023 |
| SVB Leerink | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 6, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 2, 2023 |
| BTIG | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 2, 2022 |
| Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 16, 2021 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 1, 2020 |
| Atlantic Equities | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 30, 2020 |
| Cleveland Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jul 15, 2020 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 15, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 1, 2018 |
| BTIG Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 5, 2018 |
| Leerink Swann | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 9, 2017 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 19, 2017 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 29, 2016 |
| Avondale Partners | Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Jan 6, 2016 |
| Macquarie | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 24, 2014 |
| Janney Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 15, 2013 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 31, 2013 |
| Wallachbeth | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 9, 2012 |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | May 15, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $674.7. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $740 | $673.2 | +9.7% | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $740 | $673.2 | +9.7% | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $730 | $659.6 | +8.2% | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Luke Sergott | $750 | $656.58 | +11.2% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $720 | $665.25 | +6.7% | Sep 25, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $730 | $603.02 | +8.2% | Sep 8, 2026 |
| CLSA | Michael Luo | $748 | $608.54 | +10.9% | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $650 | $564.75 | -3.7% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $600 | $568.26 | -11.1% | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $650 | $568.26 | -3.7% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Dan Leonard | $580 | $561.09 | -14.0% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Tycho Peterson | $630 | $572.6 | -6.6% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $570 | $511.31 | -15.5% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $520 | $505.75 | -22.9% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $510 | $482.04 | -24.4% | Jun 11, 2026 |
| HSBC | Sidharth Sahoo | $540 | $482.08 | -20.0% | Jun 3, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $490 | $448.21 | -27.4% | May 14, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Kallum Titchmarsh | $620 | $472.23 | -8.1% | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Daniel Arias | $600 | $467.47 | -11.1% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Catherine Ramsey Schulte | $639 | $466.7 | -5.3% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $615 | $579.86 | -8.8% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $683 | $580.09 | +1.2% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $653 | $583.12 | -3.2% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $650 | $592.16 | -3.7% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Daniel Arias | $700 | $606.5 | +3.7% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Vijay Kumar | $650 | $605.83 | -3.7% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $675 | $571.99 | +0.0% | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Evie Koslosky | $685 | $568.21 | +1.5% | Dec 9, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Paul Knight | $750 | $572.77 | +11.2% | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $610 | $570.82 | -9.6% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $656 | $563.28 | -2.8% | Oct 28, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $590 | $571.68 | -12.6% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $625 | $567.2 | -7.4% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $580 | $567.2 | -14.0% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Redburn Partners | Analyst unavailable | $575 | $536.19 | -14.8% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Redburn Partners | Analyst unavailable | $580 | $539.17 | -14.0% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Barclays | Luke Sergott | $585 | $530.73 | -13.3% | Oct 2, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Conor McNamara | $561 | $487.53 | -16.9% | Sep 2, 2025 |
| UBS | Dan Leonard | $460 | $426.17 | -31.8% | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $605 | $424.24 | -10.3% | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Matthew Sykes | $610 | $431.64 | -9.6% | Apr 23, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Conor McNamara | $693 | $597.75 | +2.7% | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Vijay Kumar | $585 | $522.57 | -13.3% | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Catherine Schulte | $622 | $576.49 | -7.8% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Barclays | Luke Sergott | $610 | $570.92 | -9.6% | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Vijay Kumar | $630 | $618.57 | -6.6% | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Daniel Arias | $680 | $620.25 | +0.8% | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Catherine Schulte | $632 | $620.25 | -6.3% | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Patrick Donnelly | $620 | $617.1 | -8.1% | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Justin Bowers | $630 | $609.41 | -6.6% | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Derik de Bruin | $675 | $611.17 | +0.0% | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Andrew Cooper | $660 | $593.86 | -2.2% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Barclays | Luke Sergott | $600 | $550.78 | -11.1% | Jun 28, 2024 |
| HSBC | Sidharth Sahoo | $670 | $576.89 | -0.7% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Justin Bowers | $610 | $577.39 | -9.6% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Barclays | Luke Sergott | $615 | $577.39 | -8.8% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Catherine Schulte | $670 | $531.65 | -0.7% | Dec 28, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Andrew Cooper | $530 | $444.46 | -21.4% | Oct 26, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Thermo Fisher | $620 | $525.63 | -8.1% | Jul 13, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Analyst unavailable | $711 | $591.95 | +5.4% | Feb 2, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $700 | $589.73 | +3.7% | Feb 2, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $660 | $587.36 | -2.2% | Feb 2, 2023 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $630 | $587.36 | -6.6% | Feb 2, 2023 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $620 | $532.88 | -8.1% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $505 | $553.18 | -25.2% | Jan 3, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $620 | $571.38 | -8.1% | Dec 14, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $661 | $550.53 | -2.0% | Dec 7, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $570 | $540.03 | -15.5% | Nov 29, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $595 | $569.4 | -11.8% | Sep 12, 2022 |
| Barclays | Luke Sergott | $685 | $587.98 | +1.5% | Aug 4, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $678 | $606.24 | +0.5% | Jul 29, 2022 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $650 | $597.64 | -3.7% | Jul 29, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $630 | $530.93 | -6.6% | Jul 13, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $670 | $563.79 | -0.7% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $525 | $561.28 | -22.2% | Apr 25, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Tejas Savant | $700 | $619.47 | +3.7% | Oct 28, 2021 |
| Benchmark Co. | Robert Wasserman | $650 | $611.7 | -3.7% | Oct 27, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Matthew Sykes | $690 | $607.64 | +2.3% | Sep 23, 2021 |
| J.P. Morgan | Tycho Peterson | $700 | $589.63 | +3.7% | Sep 20, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Derik De Bruin | $670 | $589.63 | -0.7% | Sep 20, 2021 |
| KeyBanc | Paul Knight | $710 | $589.63 | +5.2% | Sep 20, 2021 |
| Jefferies | Brandon Couillard | $540 | $589.63 | -20.0% | Sep 20, 2021 |
| Argus Research | David Toung | $600 | $538.11 | -11.1% | Aug 4, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationThermo Fisher Scientific Inc. is a global leader in scientific services, providing a comprehensive range of offerings that include life sciences solutions, advanced analytical instruments, specialized diagnostic products, and an extensive portfolio of laboratory supplies and biopharmaceutical services. The company's reach extends across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other international markets. Its Life Sciences Solutions division furnishes researchers with essential reagents, state-of-the-art instruments, and consumables vital for biological and medical exploration, the development and manufacturing of therapeutics and vaccines, and the detection of infections and various diseases. This segment encompasses bioscience, genetic science, and bioproduction technologies, serving a broad spectrum of clients in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, agricultural, clinical, healthcare, academic, and governmental sectors.…
Historical context
All TMO earningsHealthcare peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABT Abbott Laboratories | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | 0.0% | -1.9% | Abbott plans nutrition spin-off as Q3 growth holds, guidance falls |
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| ELV Elevance Health Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +48.4% | -1.4% | Elevance raises EPS outlook as Medicaid and Carelon improve |
| ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +13.2% | -3.6% | Intuitive Surgical: Strong Q3 growth, with pricing and policy risks ahead |
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Missed on EPS
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- METAFY2026 Q3 · October 21, 2026-41.4% EPS+0.5% move
- LVSFY2026 Q3 · October 21, 2026-20.9% EPS-1.7% move
- MCOFY2026 Q3 · October 21, 2026-2.6% EPS+1.2% move
- CCIFY2026 Q3 · October 21, 2026-2.5% EPS-3.1% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-16T00:01:26.053560+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-22T14:30:50.724047+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-22T14:30:50.721236+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.