The Coca-Cola Company · KO · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Coca-Cola raises 2026 outlook as volume and margins hold up

Coca-Cola’s Q3 analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory: resilient volume, organic growth, and margin expansion enabled a higher 2026 outlook. The durability of that trajectory depends on pricing, cost pass-through, bottler economics, currency, and Q4 timing.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $392.31B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.91 Consensus $0.88
EPS surprise +3.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $13.40B Consensus $12.92B
Revenue surprise +3.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.6% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
KOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the supplied analysis shows continued strong volume and organic revenue momentum alongside a higher 2026 outlook. Management also emphasized refranchising Coca-Cola Beverages Africa and a potential India bottling IPO, while cost, currency, destocking, and Q4 calendar effects remain key watchpoints.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2026 guidance to at least 5% organic revenue growth, 11% comparable EPS growth, and $13 billion of free cash flow.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 volume increased 5% and organic revenue increased 7%, with $0.91 EPS and $11.4 billion of free cash flow.
  • Management cited affordability, zero-sugar products, digital activation, and regional partnerships as growth supports.
  • Strategic initiatives include Coca-Cola Beverages Africa refranchising and a potential India bottling IPO.
  • The main watchpoints are cost pass-through, bottler economics, currency, destocking, and a shorter Q4 selling period.

Management priorities

  • Invest in digital and AI-enabled consumer activation.
  • Expand affordable single-serve packaging and zero-sugar offerings.
  • Develop new fairlife flavors and regional product launches.
  • Advance Coca-Cola Beverages Africa refranchising and explore an India bottling IPO.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.70 Q1 '24 actual $0.72, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.81 Q2 '24 actual $0.84, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.74 Q3 '24 actual $0.77, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.83 Q2 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.78 Q3 '25 actual $0.82, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.58, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.92 Q2 '26 actual $0.97, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.88 Q4 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '27 estimate $0.89 Q2 '27 estimate $1.03
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish2961.7%
Neutral1531.9%
Bearish36.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$91.18Current
$60Low
$80.58Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 26, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 16, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Show 42 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $91.18. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$102$92.71 +11.9%Oct 26, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$98$92 +7.5%Oct 16, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$95$87.76 +4.2%Aug 14, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$93$89.08 +2.0%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$90.39 +5.3%Jul 29, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers comprising restaurants and convenience stores.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-27T16:05:16.278818+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-28T01:23:13.546025+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-28T01:40:42.922623+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-28T01:40:42.919784+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.