The Coca-Cola Company · KO · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Coca-Cola Q2: Volume Growth and Margin Expansion Continue

The supplied evidence supports a constructive but qualified view: Coca-Cola combined resilient demand, margin expansion, and maintained raised guidance in Q2. The case depends on sustaining volume and price/mix execution while managing commodity, consumer, geopolitical, tax, and divestiture risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $381.25B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.97 Consensus $0.92
EPS surprise +5.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $13.37B Consensus $13.17B
Revenue surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +5.0% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +4.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.8% Up to 20 sessions
KOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the current analysis shows stronger reported volume growth, margin expansion, and continued raised guidance. The FIFA World Cup activation and fairlife production progress were prominent current-quarter developments, while the IRS tax dispute remains unresolved.

Guidance delta

Management maintained raised 2026 guidance of approximately 5% organic revenue growth and 9-10% EPS growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported 5% year-over-year volume growth and 6% organic revenue growth.
  • Comparable gross margin rose approximately 120 basis points and operating margin rose approximately 90 basis points.
  • Management attributed momentum to FIFA World Cup activation and revenue growth management.
  • Fairlife production resumed at all four U.S. facilities, with Webster capacity ramping as planned.
  • The ongoing IRS tax dispute and commodity volatility remain material risks.

Management priorities

  • Continue the consumer-centric 4Is framework and digital integration.
  • Scale Coca-Cola Zero Zero into additional markets.
  • Develop fairlife availability, flavors, and packaging.
  • Invest in AI, digital capabilities, and selective advertising.
  • Expand strategic partnerships and emerging-market initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.70 Q1 '24 actual $0.72, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.81 Q2 '24 actual $0.84, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.74 Q3 '24 actual $0.77, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.83 Q2 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.78 Q3 '25 actual $0.82, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.58, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.92 Q2 '26 actual $0.97, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.88 Q4 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '27 estimate $0.90 Q2 '27 estimate $1.03
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish2961.7%
Neutral1531.9%
Bearish36.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$88.09Current
$60Low
$79.79Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 42 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $88.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$95$87.76 +7.8%Aug 14, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$93$89.08 +5.6%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$90.39 +9.0%Jul 29, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$104$90.12 +18.1%Jul 29, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$95$88.27 +7.8%Jul 29, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers comprising restaurants and convenience stores.…

Historical context

All KO earnings

Consumer Defensive peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T16:05:21.343340+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T01:20:52.252825+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T01:20:52.250117+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.