The Coca-Cola Company · KO · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Coca-Cola Reaffirms 2026 Growth Outlook as Portfolio Broadens

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of Coca-Cola’s growth case: portfolio breadth, innovation, bottler alignment and a first-time 30% North America operating margin underpin management’s maintained outlook, while volume, currency and tax risks remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $373.63B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.58 Consensus $0.56
EPS surprise +2.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $11.80B Consensus $12.05B
Revenue surprise -2.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.5% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -1.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.1% Up to 20 sessions
KOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management’s emphasis shifted to a broader 32-brand portfolio, a first-time 30% North America operating margin and the Coke Buddy digital platform, while 2026 guidance remained maintained. The key unresolved issues are price/mix versus volume, currency, Mexican tax effects and pending divestitures.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed 2026 guidance for 4–5% organic revenue growth and 7–8% EPS growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management described 2025 as solid, with 5% organic revenue growth, $0.58 EPS and $11.4 billion in free cash flow.
  • The portfolio now includes 32 billion-dollar brands, with 75% outside sparkling soft drinks.
  • North America reached a 30% operating margin for the first time, supporting the profitability case.
  • Growth plans emphasize innovation, digital engagement, bottler alignment and volume recovery in emerging markets.

Management priorities

  • Launch additional billion-dollar brands and accelerate innovation.
  • Scale the Coke Buddy digital platform and other AI-driven tools.
  • Increase cold-drink equipment placement and refine price-pack architecture.
  • Invest in fairlife, concentrate and finished-goods capacity.
  • Use World Cup and other sports partnerships for promotional lift.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KO REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $11B Q4 '23 actual $11B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $11B Q1 '24 actual $11B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $12B Q2 '24 actual $12B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $12B Q3 '24 actual $12B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $13B Q2 '25 actual $13B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $12B Q3 '25 actual $12B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $12B Q4 '25 actual $12B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $12B Q1 '26 actual $12B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $13B Q2 '26 actual $13B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $13B Q4 '26 estimate $11B Q1 '27 estimate $12B Q2 '27 estimate $13B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish2961.7%
Neutral1531.9%
Bearish36.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$86.84Previous close
$60Low
$79.79Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 42 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $86.84. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$95$87.76 +9.4%Aug 14, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$93$89.08 +7.1%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$90.39 +10.5%Jul 29, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$104$90.12 +19.8%Jul 29, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$95$88.27 +9.4%Jul 29, 2026
See 68 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers comprising restaurants and convenience stores.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T08:26:05.352420+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T08:26:05.349549+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.