The Coca-Cola Company · KO · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Coca-Cola keeps guidance intact as innovation and refranchising support growth

The current call supports a constructive but qualified view: resilient organic growth, maintained guidance, brand investment, and refranchising progress support the case for continued earnings growth, while volume execution, currency, inflation, regulatory changes, and competition remain material tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $368.51B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.82 Consensus $0.78
EPS surprise +5.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $12.46B Consensus $12.41B
Revenue surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.1% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
KOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the company reported another quarter of organic growth and maintained its outlook while adding detail on refranchising progress, new product initiatives, early observations around GLP-1-related demand, and the 2026 capacity ramp for Fairlife and Core Power.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management said 2025 guidance remains on track for 5–6% organic revenue growth, approximately 8% comparable EPS growth, and at least $9.8 billion in free cash flow.

Key takeaways

  • Management described Q3 organic revenue growth of 6% and comparable EPS growth of 6% despite currency headwinds.
  • The company highlighted progress on refranchising, including transactions in India and Africa, as a route to system efficiency and growth.
  • Brand marketing and product innovation remain central, with Sprite + Tea, BACARDÍ mixed drinks, retro Diet Coke variants, and coffee initiatives in the pipeline.
  • Fairlife and Core Power capacity expansion is expected to support the portfolio as new capacity ramps in 2026.
  • The main counterweights are inflation, trade and currency volatility, regulatory changes, and potentially slower volume growth against tougher comparisons.

Management priorities

  • Build billion-dollar brands through marketing transformation, digital consumer engagement, and product innovation.
  • Advance refranchising and bottler-governance initiatives in India and Africa.
  • Invest in AI and productivity initiatives, while expanding Fairlife and Core Power capacity.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.70 Q1 '24 actual $0.72, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.81 Q2 '24 actual $0.84, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.74 Q3 '24 actual $0.77, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.83 Q2 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.78 Q3 '25 actual $0.82, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.58, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.92 Q2 '26 actual $0.97, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.88 Q4 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '27 estimate $0.90 Q2 '27 estimate $1.03
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish2961.7%
Neutral1531.9%
Bearish36.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$85.65Current
$60Low
$79.79Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 42 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $85.65. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$95$87.76 +10.9%Aug 14, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$93$89.08 +8.6%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$90.39 +12.1%Jul 29, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$104$90.12 +21.4%Jul 29, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$95$88.27 +10.9%Jul 29, 2026
See 68 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers comprising restaurants and convenience stores.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T18:00:49.337887+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T18:00:49.335223+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.