The Coca-Cola Company · KO · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Coca-Cola: Growth and margins hold despite volume pressure

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating picture: Coca-Cola is using pricing, brand investment, innovation and distribution initiatives to support growth, but volume pressure, market-specific softness and capacity constraints remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $369.24B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.87 Consensus $0.83
EPS surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $12.54B Consensus $12.57B
Revenue surprise -0.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.6% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.7% Up to 20 sessions
KOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, the emphasis shifted toward execution of marketing transformation, refillable initiatives, AI-enabled pricing and product innovation, while Fairlife capacity constraints and selected-market softness remained recurring concerns.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment remained maintained in the supplied current-quarter analysis, with no negative change identified versus the prior analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted organic revenue growth and EPS growth despite a volume decline.
  • Value-share gains, pricing, marketing transformation and product innovation remain central growth levers.
  • Fairlife capacity constraints remain a limiting factor, while refillable packaging and AI-enabled pricing tools are being expanded.

Management priorities

  • Scale marketing transformation and targeted brand campaigns.
  • Expand refillable packaging and connected-packaging initiatives.
  • Address Fairlife capacity constraints while broadening product and geographic execution.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.49 Q4 '23 actual $0.49, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.70 Q1 '24 actual $0.72, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.81 Q2 '24 actual $0.84, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.74 Q3 '24 actual $0.77, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.83 Q2 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.78 Q3 '25 actual $0.82, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.58, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.92 Q2 '26 actual $0.97, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.88 Q4 '26 estimate $0.59 Q1 '27 estimate $0.89 Q2 '27 estimate $1.03
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish2961.7%
Neutral1531.9%
Bearish36.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$88.06Current
$60Low
$79.79Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 42 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $88.06. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$95$87.76 +7.9%Aug 14, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$93$89.08 +5.6%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$90.39 +9.0%Jul 29, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$104$90.12 +18.1%Jul 29, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$95$88.27 +7.9%Jul 29, 2026
See 68 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers comprising restaurants and convenience stores.…

Historical context

All KO earnings

Consumer Defensive peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T12:50:42.679954+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T12:50:42.676904+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.