Gartner, Inc. · IT · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Gartner raises guidance as AI demand and renewals strengthen

The current analysis supports a constructive near-term operating thesis: AI demand, AskGartner engagement, improving renewals, and conference performance are reinforcing growth, while raised guidance adds evidence of management confidence. That support is conditional on containing tariff and federal-sector disruption, sustaining retention through pricing, and converting investment and headcount into faster contract-value growth.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $12.37B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.76 Consensus $2.43
EPS surprise +13.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.52B Consensus $1.52B
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -7.6% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -6.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.1% Up to 20 sessions
ITSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the tone and guidance improved: the analysis moved from lowered guidance and a focus on restoring growth to raised full-year guidance, stronger renewal commentary, broader AskGartner deployment, and a more explicit 2026 investment plan. Risks remain around tariffs, federal activity, pricing, churn, and the expense base.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2025 revenue, EBITDA, and adjusted EPS guidance, alongside a more constructive operating outlook.

Key takeaways

  • The quarter combined a reported earnings beat with higher full-year guidance.
  • Management pointed to accelerating AI demand, AskGartner adoption, stronger renewals, and conference momentum as key supports.
  • AskGartner was rolled out to all licensed users at no additional charge, while the AI insights library and internal tools remain central to the growth plan.
  • Capital returns remained significant, with stock repurchases reducing the diluted share count by roughly 6% year over year.
  • The main counterweights are tariff uncertainty, federal-government disruption, small-tech client churn, pricing pushback, and a higher investment base.

Management priorities

  • Expand AskGartner and AI-driven content creation.
  • Invest in the sales force and AI tools to accelerate 2026 contract-value growth.
  • Maintain the stock repurchase program and pursue strategic tuck-in acquisitions.
  • Deliver the 2026 conference schedule and build on exhibitor bookings.
  • Improve productivity and content publishing while supporting renewal and retention trends.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
IT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, match Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold18 ratings
Bullish527.8%
Neutral1055.5%
Bearish316.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$184.8Current
$120Low
$249.3Average
$565High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 18, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 5, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 13 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $184.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSJoshua Chan$196$169.3 +6.1%Sep 10, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$206$179.19 +11.5%Aug 18, 2026
Truist FinancialJasper Bibb$205$189.74 +10.9%Aug 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$177$191.94 -4.2%Aug 5, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$164$185.79 -11.3%Aug 5, 2026
See 48 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Gartner, Inc. functions as a premier research and advisory enterprise, extending its reach across the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and various international markets. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Research, Conferences, and Consulting. The Research division primarily offers a subscription service, enabling on-demand access to extensive published studies, data, industry benchmarks, and direct consultations with its expert network. The Conferences segment provides a platform for business professionals to acquire new knowledge, share insights, and foster connections. Lastly, the Consulting segment furnishes clients with market research, bespoke analyses, and direct, on-site support services. This segment specifically addresses critical IT challenges, offering practical strategies for areas such as optimizing IT expenditures, managing digital transformation, and enhancing IT sourcing processes. Founded in 1979, Gartner, Inc. has its corporate base in Stamford, Connecticut.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T11:36:05.213987+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T11:36:05.211850+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.