Guidewire Software, Inc. · GWRE · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026
Guidewire highlights cloud migration and AI product momentum
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: cloud migration, low attrition, and AI-enabled cross-sell can support growth, while deal timing, concentration, implementation complexity, and product-level ARR visibility remain the key tests.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes the Nationwide Tier 1 cloud migration agreement, the Qusar agentic platform, and gross ARR attrition below 1.5%. Guidance sentiment shifted from raised in the prior analysis to maintained in the current analysis.
Guidance delta
Maintained; the supplied analysis says FY2027 guidance points to high-teen ARR growth and incremental margin expansion.
Key takeaways
- The supplied analysis describes financial performance above guidance, with strong ARR growth, higher operating income, and robust cash generation.
- Cloud adoption and migration remain central to the growth story, while ProNavigator and PricingCenter are highlighted as cross-sell drivers.
- Management's stated priorities broaden AI integration through UnderwritingCenter, developer assistants, implementation tools, and the Qusar agentic platform.
- The analysis also identifies execution risks around deal timing, Tier 1 concentration, services margins, and AI-product ARR visibility.
Management priorities
- Expand cloud migration and AI product integration.
- Launch UnderwritingCenter and broaden AI developer assistants.
- Roll out AI-powered implementation tools across projects and systems-integrator partners.
- Develop the Qusar platform for customer-built AI agents.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DA Davidson | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Needham | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Citizens | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| BTIG | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 27, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 5, 2025 |
| JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Jun 4, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Citizens Capital Markets | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 27, 2019 |
| PiperJaffray | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Mar 4, 2019 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 9, 2018 |
| KeyBanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 21, 2018 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 21, 2018 |
| Jefferies | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 13, 2017 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 2, 2016 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $188.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $210 | $202.86 | +11.2% | Sep 4, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $220 | $202.86 | +16.5% | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Turrin | $195 | $202.86 | +3.3% | Sep 4, 2026 |
| BTIG | Allan Verkhovski | $230 | $201.09 | +21.8% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Joe Vruwink | $235 | $205.85 | +24.5% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $210 | $191.07 | +11.2% | Aug 27, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $210 | $170.53 | +11.2% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Billy Fitzsimmons | $210 | $170.53 | +11.2% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Tamjid Chowdhury | $180 | $133.97 | -4.7% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Peter Heckmann | $222 | $136.06 | +17.6% | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Adam Hotchkiss | $225 | $141.84 | +19.2% | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Alexander Sklar | $180 | $151.17 | -4.7% | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Turrin | $190 | $151.17 | +0.6% | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Parker Lane | $200 | $151.17 | +5.9% | Jun 5, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Rishi Jaluria | $215 | $151.17 | +13.9% | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Parker Lane | $225 | $142.13 | +19.2% | May 29, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Parker Lane | $250 | $162.24 | +32.4% | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $122.22 | +32.4% | Feb 24, 2026 |
| BTIG | Allan Verkhovski | $175 | $122.29 | -7.3% | Feb 18, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Rishi Jaluria | $300 | $185.06 | +58.9% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Turrin | $250 | $187.68 | +32.4% | Jan 8, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $246 | $193.59 | +30.3% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $193.59 | +32.4% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| D.A. Davidson | Peter Heckmann | $250 | $252.3 | +32.4% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Parker Lane | $300 | $260.71 | +58.9% | Sep 5, 2025 |
| D.A. Davidson | Peter Heckmann | $226 | $208 | +19.7% | May 22, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $236 | $173.24 | +25.0% | Mar 7, 2025 |
| JMP Securities | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $173.24 | +32.4% | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Bank of America Securities | Brad Sills | $135 | $185.82 | -28.5% | Oct 11, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Turrin | $205 | $183.37 | +8.6% | Oct 11, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Joe Vruwink | $204 | $182.17 | +8.0% | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Ken Wong | $200 | $184.22 | +5.9% | Oct 4, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Rishi Jaluria | $180 | $162.96 | -4.7% | Sep 6, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Parker Lane | $175 | $143.93 | -7.3% | Sep 6, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Jon Vruwink | $175 | $143.93 | -7.3% | Sep 6, 2024 |
| BTIG | Matt VanVliet | $165 | $147.5 | -12.6% | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Turrin | $175 | $146.92 | -7.3% | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Ken Wong | $170 | $148.4 | -10.0% | Aug 20, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Rishi Jaluria | $170 | $134.86 | -10.0% | Jun 27, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Turrin | $150 | $135.61 | -20.6% | Jun 21, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Jon Vruwink | $152 | $127.46 | -19.5% | Jun 6, 2024 |
| D.A. Davidson | Peter Heckmann | $142 | $127.46 | -24.8% | Jun 5, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Parker Lane | $140 | $108.05 | -25.8% | Jun 5, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Turrin | $140 | $108.05 | -25.8% | Jun 5, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Rishi Jaluria | $130 | $108.05 | -31.1% | Jun 5, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Ken Wong | $140 | $108.05 | -25.8% | Jun 5, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Kevin Kumar | $146 | $108.05 | -22.7% | Jun 5, 2024 |
| BTIG | Matthew VanVliet | $140 | $108.05 | -25.8% | Jun 5, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Parker Lane | $95 | $93.82 | -49.7% | Sep 8, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Turrin | $85 | $83.8 | -55.0% | Aug 31, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Rishi Jaluria | $90 | $75.32 | -52.3% | Mar 7, 2023 |
| JMP Securities | Joe Goodwinm | $95 | $75 | -49.7% | Mar 7, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Rishi Jaluria | $100 | $59.96 | -47.0% | Dec 7, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $125 | $92.8 | -33.8% | Apr 19, 2022 |
| Bank of America Securities | Bradley Sills | $125 | $113.12 | -33.8% | Oct 4, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationGuidewire Software, Inc. is a global supplier of software solutions tailored for the property and casualty insurance industry. Its primary offering is Guidewire InsuranceSuite, a comprehensive platform that incorporates core applications like PolicyCenter, BillingCenter, and ClaimCenter. The company also furnishes Guidewire InsuranceNow, a cloud-native platform providing integrated policy, billing, and claims administration for insurers, alongside a self-managed version of the InsuranceSuite. Guidewire's product portfolio extends to specialized management tools, including Rating Management for accurate insurance product pricing, Reinsurance Management for executing rules-based reinsurance strategies throughout underwriting and claims processes, Client Data Management for effective utilization of customer information, and Product Content Management, which provides software tools and standardized templates to streamline the introduction and modification of insurance products.…
Historical context
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-09-04T13:21:50.198250+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-20T01:23:12.707946+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-20T23:30:46.079697+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-20T23:30:46.076767+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.