Lam Research Corporation · LRCX · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026

Lam Research posts record quarter as AI drives tool intensity

The quarter supports the view that resilient AI-related semiconductor demand can sustain growth in equipment intensity, advanced packaging, and customer support. The evidence is constructive but depends on managing supply constraints, expanding capacity, and converting the longer-term opportunity into durable margins and shipments.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $326.38B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.20 Consensus $2.18
EPS surprise +0.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.22B Consensus $8.14B
Revenue surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -1.0% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -1.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
LRCXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current quarter added evidence of broad AI-linked demand across memory and logic, stronger emphasis on advanced and panel-level packaging, and continued growth in customer support. Management also highlighted a larger expected Aether opportunity and a four-point expansion in served available market as a share of wafer-fabrication-equipment spending.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance; the December-quarter outlook was described as slightly above prior expectations despite near-term supply constraints.

Key takeaways

  • Record September-quarter revenue and profitability were supported by stronger demand across NAND, DRAM, and logic.
  • Management linked AI adoption to higher deposition and etch intensity and highlighted advanced packaging as a growth area.
  • Customer Support Business Group revenue grew more than 30% year over year, supported by upgrades, spares, and Equipment Intelligence services.
  • The outlook remains constructive, but supply-chain capacity, China exposure, inventory, and margin durability are key watch items.

Management priorities

  • Increase R&D investment in next-generation tools and panel-form-factor platforms.
  • Expand global manufacturing capacity and lab infrastructure.
  • Accelerate supplier-capacity expansion and consider co-investments where needed.
  • Build share in panel-level packaging while continuing the share-repurchase program and stated free-cash-flow return target.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LRCX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $7.30 Q3 '24 actual $0.78, miss Q4 '24 estimate $0.76 Q4 '24 actual $0.81, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.81 Q1 '25 actual $0.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.21 Q4 '25 actual $1.33, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.22 Q1 '26 actual $1.26, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.17 Q2 '26 actual $1.27, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.36 Q3 '26 actual $1.47, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.69 Q4 '26 actual $1.82, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.83 Q2 '27 estimate $1.99 Q3 '27 estimate $2.13
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish3880.9%
Neutral817.0%
Bearish12.1%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$260.81Current
$54.3Low
$241.53Average
$575High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
B. Riley Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Show 43 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $260.81. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$315$272.2 +20.8%Oct 20, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$375$277.36 +43.8%Oct 19, 2026
Morgan StanleyShane Brett$385$347.49 +47.6%Oct 5, 2026
Fundamental ResearchAnalyst unavailable$390$336.72 +49.5%Oct 1, 2026
Berenberg BankAnalyst unavailable$420$320.42 +61.0%Sep 9, 2026
See 135 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Lam Research Corporation is a prominent supplier of equipment vital for semiconductor processing, encompassing its design, production, sales, repair, and ongoing maintenance. These sophisticated systems are fundamental for the creation of integrated circuits. The company's extensive product catalog features a variety of deposition technologies. For tungsten metallization, they provide ALTUS systems that deposit conformal films. SABRE products excel in electrochemical deposition, crucial for copper interconnect transitions and enabling copper damascene manufacturing. SOLA utilizes ultraviolet thermal processing for film treatments, while VECTOR delivers plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (CVD) and atomic layer deposition (ALD) solutions. Furthermore, SPEED addresses gapfill applications with its high-density plasma CVD products, and Striker is engineered for single-wafer atomic layer deposition of dielectric films.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-22T00:04:17.279043+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-22T01:23:13.354406+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-22T02:00:43.216974+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-22T02:00:43.214213+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.