Ferrovial N.V. · FER · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Ferrovial enters 2026 with strong highways growth and a record order book

Ferrovial's latest call supports a constructive operating picture: North American highways, 407 ETR and construction drove growth, while the record order book and U.S. managed-lane pipeline provide visible development opportunities. The main test is execution across New Terminal One, construction margins and capital-intensive infrastructure commitments.

Reported After market closeNASDAQIndustrials $39.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.34 Consensus $-0.18
EPS surprise +293.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.19B Consensus $2.36B
Revenue surprise +35.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.0% Event window
SPY move -0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +2.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -15.1% Up to 20 sessions
FERSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The company moved from a strong Q3 outlook to reporting a strong 2025, with a record €17.4bn order book, continued North American highways momentum and additional capital deployment in 407 ETR and New Terminal One. New Terminal One's opening expectation is now Fall 2026, versus the prior quarter's June 2026 target.

Guidance delta

No explicit guidance was provided in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • North American highways and 407 ETR led double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth.
  • The order book reached a record €17.4bn, with almost half in North America.
  • Cash generation supported €501m of share buy-backs and a €156m cash dividend.

Management priorities

  • Advance New Terminal One construction and prepare for its expected Fall 2026 opening.
  • Pursue additional U.S. managed-lane awards while expanding 407 ETR customer programs.
  • Maintain the long-term 3.5% EBIT margin target for Construction.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FER REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 7 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $2B, None Q1 '24 actual $2B, None Q2 '24 actual $2B, None Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $3B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold4 ratings
Bullish00.0%
Neutral4100.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$55.29Current
$70.93Low
$70.93Average
$70.93High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeOct 6, 2026
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 26, 2026
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 27, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeMar 9, 2026

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $55.29. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$70.93$66.16 +28.3%Mar 8, 2026

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ferrovial SE, a global entity operating through its various subsidiaries, specializes in the entire lifecycle management of transport infrastructure and urban services, encompassing their design, construction, financing, operation, and ongoing maintenance. Its diverse operations are organized into four primary divisions: Construction, Toll Roads, Airports, and Energy Infrastructures and Mobility. In the Construction division, the firm undertakes the planning and execution of a wide array of public and private projects, notably including public infrastructure development.…

Historical context

All FER earnings

Industrials peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T04:40:41.967704+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T04:40:41.964971+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.