Ferrovial N.V. · FER · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
Ferrovial enters 2026 with strong highways growth and a record order book
Ferrovial's latest call supports a constructive operating picture: North American highways, 407 ETR and construction drove growth, while the record order book and U.S. managed-lane pipeline provide visible development opportunities. The main test is execution across New Terminal One, construction margins and capital-intensive infrastructure commitments.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The company moved from a strong Q3 outlook to reporting a strong 2025, with a record €17.4bn order book, continued North American highways momentum and additional capital deployment in 407 ETR and New Terminal One. New Terminal One's opening expectation is now Fall 2026, versus the prior quarter's June 2026 target.
Guidance delta
No explicit guidance was provided in the supplied analysis.
Key takeaways
- North American highways and 407 ETR led double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth.
- The order book reached a record €17.4bn, with almost half in North America.
- Cash generation supported €501m of share buy-backs and a €156m cash dividend.
Management priorities
- Advance New Terminal One construction and prepare for its expected Fall 2026 opening.
- Pursue additional U.S. managed-lane awards while expanding 407 ETR customer programs.
- Maintain the long-term 3.5% EBIT margin target for Construction.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Oct 6, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 26, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | May 27, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 9, 2026 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $55.29. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $70.93 | $66.16 | +28.3% | Mar 8, 2026 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationFerrovial SE, a global entity operating through its various subsidiaries, specializes in the entire lifecycle management of transport infrastructure and urban services, encompassing their design, construction, financing, operation, and ongoing maintenance. Its diverse operations are organized into four primary divisions: Construction, Toll Roads, Airports, and Energy Infrastructures and Mobility. In the Construction division, the firm undertakes the planning and execution of a wide array of public and private projects, notably including public infrastructure development.…
Historical context
All FER earningsIndustrials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GD General Dynamics Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +9.0% | +0.5% | General Dynamics raises outlook as orders and backlog surge |
| RBC RBC Bearings Incorporated | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +5.9% | -6.8% | RBC Bearings: Strong Q2, capacity investment supports second half |
| CNI Canadian National Railway Company | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.4% | -0.3% | CN posts strong Q3, maintains EPS outlook and expands Mexico strategy |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +8.6% | -8.8% | nVent raises outlook as data-center demand and Maverick broaden growth |
| MTZ MasTec, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +0.3% | +0.8% | MasTec posts record Q3 as power and data-center demand accelerates |
| IR Ingersoll Rand Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +18.5% | +0.2% | Ingersoll Rand raises FY2026 outlook as orders accelerate |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- CHDFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+2.2% EPS+1.2% move
- AZNFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+7.3% EPS+7.0% move
- FRTFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+3.9% EPS-1.1% move
- CVXFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+8.4% EPS+1.8% move
- BTSGFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+14.2% EPS+11.1% move
- EXCFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+10.4% EPS+0.5% move
Missed on EPS
- GLPIFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-11.5% EPS-1.3% move
- LYBFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-1.2% EPS+5.0% move
- CCJFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-101.4% EPS-7.9% move
- VALEFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-24.6% EPS+1.9% move
- DLR-PLFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
- DLR-PKFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T04:40:41.967704+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T04:40:41.964971+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.