Ferrovial N.V. · FER · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Ferrovial sustains growth as highways and construction lead

Ferrovial’s current analysis supports a constructive operating picture: North American highways and construction remain growth engines, while strong cash generation and a record order book provide support. The main test is execution across JFK Terminal 1, managed-lane bids and new data-center projects.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $39.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.41 Consensus $0.25
EPS surprise +64.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.37B Consensus $4.93B
Revenue surprise +8.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.7% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -2.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.0% Up to 20 sessions
FERSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current quarter added progress on JFK Terminal 1, which was 92% complete, and introduced data-center investments in Madrid and Warsaw. North American highway revenue growth and the order book remained strong, while the construction adjusted EBIT margin target was maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management retained the 3.5% adjusted EBIT margin target for Construction. The analysis does not identify a broader change to formal guidance.

Key takeaways

  • North American highway revenues grew about 20%, supported by toll-rate increases and traffic promotions.
  • Construction maintained a 3.5% adjusted EBIT margin and the order book reached EUR 18 billion.
  • Operating cash flow was EUR 329 million and the company had a EUR 1.3 billion net cash position.
  • JFK Terminal 1 reached 92% completion, with delay-related contingency provisions noted in the analysis.
  • Data-center projects in Madrid and Warsaw broaden the infrastructure portfolio but add execution requirements.

Management priorities

  • Complete JFK Terminal 1 and reach full operational status by March 2027.
  • Pursue the I-24 and I-85 managed-lane bids and continue developing the U.S. pipeline.
  • Evaluate further phases of the Madrid and Warsaw data-center projects after the pilot.
  • Refine promotions and loyalty programs on the 407 ETR.
  • Develop a strategic plan beyond the 2026 horizon.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FER EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 7 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $0.10, None Q1 '24 actual $0.28, None Q2 '24 actual $0.28, None Q2 '25 actual $0.44, None Q4 '25 estimate $-0.18 Q4 '25 actual $0.34, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.25 Q2 '26 actual $0.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.28 Q3 '26 actual $0.28, match Q4 '26 estimate $-0.13 Q1 '27 estimate $-0.06 Q2 '27 estimate $0.15 Q3 '27 estimate $0.15

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold4 ratings
Bullish00.0%
Neutral4100.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$55.29Current
$70.93Low
$70.93Average
$70.93High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeOct 6, 2026
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 26, 2026
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 27, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeMar 9, 2026

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $55.29. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$70.93$66.16 +28.3%Mar 8, 2026

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ferrovial SE, a global entity operating through its various subsidiaries, specializes in the entire lifecycle management of transport infrastructure and urban services, encompassing their design, construction, financing, operation, and ongoing maintenance. Its diverse operations are organized into four primary divisions: Construction, Toll Roads, Airports, and Energy Infrastructures and Mobility. In the Construction division, the firm undertakes the planning and execution of a wide array of public and private projects, notably including public infrastructure development.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-29T18:06:44.437475+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T17:20:42.702704+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T17:20:42.699851+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.