Ferrovial N.V. · FER · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Ferrovial’s H1 2025 growth is led by North American highways and 407 ETR

The supplied analysis describes a strong first half, led by North American highways and 407 ETR, with construction backlog and airport development providing additional activity. Whether this momentum persists depends on traffic, pricing, project execution and cost control; the supplied analysis does not provide formal guidance.

Reported After market closeNASDAQIndustrials $41.21B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.44 Consensus —
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.63B Consensus $2.52B
Revenue surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.9% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +1.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.9% Up to 20 sessions
FERSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current-quarter analysis highlights a 5.06% additional stake in 407 ETR, a lower Schedule 22 provision in Q2 despite higher revenues, and negative net debt of €223 million excluding infrastructure. A prior-quarter analysis was not supplied, so quarter-over-quarter changes cannot be assessed.

Guidance delta

No formal guidance sentiment was provided in the transcript analysis; no guidance change can be established from the supplied material.

Key takeaways

  • North American highways and 407 ETR led revenue and EBITDA growth, with double-digit EBITDA increases cited in the analysis.
  • The construction order book was reported at a record €17.3 billion.
  • New Terminal One at JFK was described as on schedule and on budget; €1.4 billion of green bonds were issued for refinancing.
  • Airport divestments generated cash and reduced debt, while shareholder distributions remained a stated priority.

Management priorities

  • Continue investment in 407 ETR and pursue further stake increases.
  • Pursue additional U.S. managed-lane concessions, including the stated I-24 and I-285 bids.
  • Complete New Terminal One at JFK by mid-2026, as stated in the analysis.
  • Maintain the stated dividend policy targeting €2.2 billion over 2024–2026.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FER EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 7 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $0.10, None Q1 '24 actual $0.28, None Q2 '24 actual $0.28, None Q2 '25 actual $0.44, None Q4 '25 estimate $-0.18 Q4 '25 actual $0.34, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.25 Q2 '26 actual $0.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.28 Q3 '26 actual $0.28, match Q4 '26 estimate $-0.13 Q1 '27 estimate $-0.06 Q2 '27 estimate $0.15 Q3 '27 estimate $0.15

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold4 ratings
Bullish00.0%
Neutral4100.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$58.05Current
$70.93Low
$70.93Average
$70.93High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeOct 6, 2026
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 26, 2026
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 27, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeMar 9, 2026

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $58.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$70.93$66.16 +22.2%Mar 8, 2026

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ferrovial SE, a global entity operating through its various subsidiaries, specializes in the entire lifecycle management of transport infrastructure and urban services, encompassing their design, construction, financing, operation, and ongoing maintenance. Its diverse operations are organized into four primary divisions: Construction, Toll Roads, Airports, and Energy Infrastructures and Mobility. In the Construction division, the firm undertakes the planning and execution of a wide array of public and private projects, notably including public infrastructure development.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-03T14:20:44.968966+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-03T14:20:44.966203+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.