Domino's Pizza, Inc. · DPZ · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Domino's Maintains Guidance as Innovation and Delivery Expansion Offset Macro Pressure

The call supports a cautiously constructive growth case: management cited market-share gains, product innovation, delivery-platform expansion, loyalty, and store growth, while maintaining guidance. The evidence is tempered by macro pressure, discounting risk, and the absence of reported EPS and revenue actuals in the supplied facts.

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $10.23B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $4.08
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.12B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.6% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.2% Up to 20 sessions
DPZSPY benchmark

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What changed

Management highlighted the Parmesan Stuffed Crust launch, a national DoorDash partnership expected to be about 50% incremental and twice the volume of Uber Eats, and organizational changes including a new COO and head of international. The supplied analysis says 2025 guidance was maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained: 2025 US comparable-sales guidance of 3%, international comparable-sales guidance of 1%-2%, and profit growth of about 8% were unchanged.

Key takeaways

  • Management said market share continued to grow despite slight same-store-sales pressure from macro conditions.
  • Parmesan Stuffed Crust was positioned as a significant product launch and potential long-term sales driver.
  • Management expected the national DoorDash partnership to add incremental delivery sales in the second half of 2025.
  • Loyalty, value promotions, product innovation, and store expansion remain central growth priorities.

Management priorities

  • Expand aggregator delivery through DoorDash and Uber Eats.
  • Invest in loyalty, value promotions, and new product innovation.
  • Pursue US and international net store growth.
  • Reinvest organizational savings in technology and capacity.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DPZ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.39 Q1 '24 actual $3.58, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.68 Q2 '24 actual $4.03, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.71 Q3 '24 actual $4.19, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.93 Q2 '25 actual $3.81, miss Q3 '25 estimate $3.96 Q3 '25 actual $4.08, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.38 Q4 '25 actual $5.35, miss Q1 '26 estimate $4.27 Q1 '26 actual $4.13, miss Q2 '26 estimate $4.17 Q2 '26 actual $4.07, miss Q3 '26 estimate $4.36 Q4 '26 estimate $6.48 Q1 '27 estimate $4.59 Q2 '27 estimate $4.81
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold51 ratings
Bullish2549.0%
Neutral2549.0%
Bearish12.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$309.13Current
$315Low
$440.32Average
$612High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 23, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 10, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $309.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$357$307.48 +15.5%Oct 9, 2026
Gordon Haskett Capital CorporationAnalyst unavailable$340$297.27 +10.0%Oct 6, 2026
GuggenheimGregory Francfort$325$297.12 +5.1%Sep 23, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$353$350.95 +14.2%Aug 10, 2026
BMO CapitalAndrew Strelzik$420$333.67 +35.9%Jul 21, 2026
See 138 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates as a leading international and domestic purveyor of pizza, managing its extensive operations through three distinct segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. The company is primarily recognized for its Domino's-branded pizzas, which are distributed via a vast network of both corporate-owned and independently franchised outlets. Beyond its flagship product, the menu also encompasses a variety of other offerings, including oven-baked sandwiches, pasta dishes, boneless and winged chicken, various bread and dip accompaniments, desserts, and soft drink beverages. As of January 2, 2022, the enterprise boasted approximately 18,800 locations spanning 90 global markets. Established in 1960, Domino's Pizza, Inc. is headquartered in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-14T00:04:42.211827+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T11:40:43.740534+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T11:40:43.737851+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.