Yum! Brands, Inc. · YUM · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Yum! Brands: Taco Bell recovery and KFC momentum meet transition costs

The supplied Q3 call analysis points to a stronger operating focus after the Pizza Hut divestiture, with Taco Bell recovering and international KFC growth supporting the outlook. The case remains conditional: management's stated priorities and operating-efficiency gains must offset consumer, food-safety and transition-cost risks. EPS and revenue actuals were not supplied in the event facts.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $42.97B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.47
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.05B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.0% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
YUMSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with Q2, the Pizza Hut transaction moved from being described as on track to completed, and the Q3 analysis emphasizes Taco Bell's recovery and KFC's international performance. The supplied analysis also highlights reported operating benefits from voice AI; it does not provide actual EPS or revenue for this event.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment is marked maintained. The supplied analysis says Taco Bell expects Q4 margin improvement to 21.5–23.5%; it does not include a broader change to company guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Pizza Hut's divestiture is complete; the analysis cites $2.4 billion in net proceeds and a $1.7 billion pre-tax gain.
  • Management describes Taco Bell as recovering from a summer food-safety issue and sees Q4 margin improvement.
  • KFC's international results, including U.K. same-store sales, and record unit openings feature in the analysis.
  • Management cited voice-AI operating benefits, while planning further deployment and expansion of digital tools.

Management priorities

  • Execute the Raise the B.A.R. priorities: value, loyalty, digital and unit economics.
  • Expand Kw(en)ch beverage availability, Byte Kitchen Display System and voice AI.
  • Support international restaurant development and new-market entries.
  • Manage Pizza Hut transition-service costs while G&A reductions phase in.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
YUM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold51 ratings
Bullish2039.2%
Neutral2854.9%
Bearish35.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$157.01Current
$120Low
$164.47Average
$190High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 21, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeSep 24, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $157.01. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankLauren Silberman$167$149.72 +6.4%Oct 21, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$155$139.34 -1.3%Oct 6, 2026
Robert W. BairdChris O'Cull$165$140.77 +5.1%Sep 16, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$162$140.77 +3.2%Sep 16, 2026
Wells FargoZachary Fadem$175$145.09 +11.5%Sep 10, 2026
See 62 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

YUM! Brands, Inc. (YUM) is a leading global quick-service restaurant enterprise that focuses on the creation, management, and franchising of its restaurant concepts internationally. Its business is organized into four main divisions: KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and The Habit Burger Grill. The company operates establishments under these well-known brands, offering diverse food categories such as chicken, pizza, Mexican-style dishes, and made-to-order chargrilled burgers and sandwiches, among other food products. As of December 31, 2021, YUM! Brands boasted a significant worldwide presence, comprising 26,934 KFC outlets, 18,381 Pizza Hut locations, 7,791 Taco Bell restaurants, and 318 The Habit Burger Grill units, spread across roughly 157 countries and territories. The company, which maintains its headquarters in Louisville, Kentucky, was established in 1997. It was formerly known as TRICON Global Restaurants, Inc., before officially adopting the name YUM! Brands, Inc. in May 2002.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-03T19:05:58.944038+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-03T01:23:13.143323+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-03T19:20:44.487085+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-03T19:20:44.484426+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.