XP Inc. · XP · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

XP’s Q2 growth broadened, while volatility and credit remain key risks

The supplied Q2 analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: XP is broadening growth through corporate cross-selling, fee-based wealth planning, offshore products and new SMB services, while maintained guidance and capital discipline provide support. The countercase is that volatility, fixed-income conditions, credit risk and rising technology-related SG&A could test the durability of that growth.

Reported After market closeNASDAQFinancial Services $10.47B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.53 Consensus $0.50
EPS surprise +6.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $941.6M Consensus $935.1M
Revenue surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.9% Event window
SPY move -0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +1.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +24.7% Up to 20 sessions
XPSPY benchmark

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What changed

Relative to the supplied prior-quarter analysis, XP’s Q2 analysis points to stronger corporate momentum, with corporate revenue up 117% year over year, and adds new initiatives in SMB payments and credit, offshore investing and AI-based advisory. Fee-based wealth planning reached 26% of client assets, while the company continued to emphasize buybacks, dividends and capital discipline.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed double-digit growth targets for 2026 and continued to target a 16–19% capital ratio range; guidance sentiment was maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Client assets reached $2.2 trillion, up 17% year over year, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Gross revenue rose 8% year over year to BRL 5.1 billion, while net income increased 5% to BRL 1.4 billion.
  • Corporate revenue increased 117% year over year, and retail net new money reached $28 billion.
  • Management highlighted SMB credit and POS services, offshore capabilities, fee-based wealth planning and an AI-driven adviser as expansion areas.
  • The supplied analysis says share buybacks supported 9% EPS growth and that XP reaffirmed double-digit growth targets for 2026.

Management priorities

  • Launch the SMB platform with credit-card and POS capabilities in September
  • Roll out an AI-driven adviser for digital retail clients
  • Expand offshore investment capabilities and fee-based wealth planning
  • Continue share buybacks and dividends while maintaining the 16–19% capital-ratio target range

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
XP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $164M Q4 '23 actual $837M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $809M Q1 '24 actual $809M, match Q2 '24 estimate $736M Q2 '24 actual $779M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $832M Q2 '25 actual $807M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $876M Q3 '25 actual $847M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $866M Q4 '25 actual $902M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $926M Q1 '26 actual $910M, miss Q2 '26 estimate $935M Q2 '26 actual $942M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $5B Q2 '27 estimate $5B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy10 ratings
Bullish880.0%
Neutral220.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$20.5Current
$19Low
$25.5Average
$33High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Itau BBA Outperform Market PerformUpgradeAug 31, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJun 3, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 24, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 4, 2025
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 21, 2025
Show 5 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $20.5. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$22$17.4 +7.3%Jan 19, 2026
UBSThiago Batista$25$17.58 +22.0%Dec 16, 2025
UBSThiago Batista$23$16.53 +12.2%Oct 16, 2025
UBSThiago Batista$21$18.25 +2.5%Jul 11, 2024
BradescoGustavo Schroden$19$16.7 -7.3%Jul 2, 2024
See 5 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

XP Inc. provides financial products and services in Brazil. The company operates XP Platform, an open product platform that provides clients to access investment products in the market comprising brokerage securities, fixed income securities, mutual, hedge, and private equity funds; derivatives and synthetic instruments; credit cards; loan operations/collateralized credit products; pension and social security funds, and life and travel insurance products; and other investment products comprising real estate funds, and equity and debt capital markets solutions, as well as wealth management services. It offers brokerage and issuer services to institutional and corporate clients.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-18T13:19:04.302978+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T13:50:49.136458+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T13:50:49.133562+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.