XP Inc. · XP · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

XP’s Q2 growth broadened, while volatility and credit remain key risks

The supplied Q2 analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: XP is broadening growth through corporate cross-selling, fee-based wealth planning, offshore products and new SMB services, while maintained guidance and capital discipline provide support. The countercase is that volatility, fixed-income conditions, credit risk and rising technology-related SG&A could test the durability of that growth.

Why did XP rise 0.9% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q2?

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Reported After market closeNASDAQFinancial Services $10.47B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.53 Consensus $0.50
EPS surprise +6.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $941.6M Consensus $935.1M
Revenue surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.9% Event window
SPY move -0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +1.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +24.7% Up to 20 sessions
XPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the supplied prior-quarter analysis, XP’s Q2 analysis points to stronger corporate momentum, with corporate revenue up 117% year over year, and adds new initiatives in SMB payments and credit, offshore investing and AI-based advisory. Fee-based wealth planning reached 26% of client assets, while the company continued to emphasize buybacks, dividends and capital discipline.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed double-digit growth targets for 2026 and continued to target a 16–19% capital ratio range; guidance sentiment was maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Client assets reached $2.2 trillion, up 17% year over year, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Gross revenue rose 8% year over year to BRL 5.1 billion, while net income increased 5% to BRL 1.4 billion.
  • Corporate revenue increased 117% year over year, and retail net new money reached $28 billion.
  • Management highlighted SMB credit and POS services, offshore capabilities, fee-based wealth planning and an AI-driven adviser as expansion areas.
  • The supplied analysis says share buybacks supported 9% EPS growth and that XP reaffirmed double-digit growth targets for 2026.

Management priorities

  • Launch the SMB platform with credit-card and POS capabilities in September
  • Roll out an AI-driven adviser for digital retail clients
  • Expand offshore investment capabilities and fee-based wealth planning
  • Continue share buybacks and dividends while maintaining the 16–19% capital-ratio target range

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
XP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '23 estimate $0.42 Q3 '23 actual $0.44, beat Q4 '23 estimate $0.41 Q4 '23 actual $0.43, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.39 Q1 '24 actual $0.36, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.35 Q2 '24 actual $0.39, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.43 Q2 '25 actual $0.43, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.46 Q3 '25 actual $0.45, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.45 Q4 '25 actual $0.46, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.49 Q1 '26 actual $0.47, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.50 Q2 '26 actual $0.53, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.54 Q4 '26 estimate $2.78 Q1 '27 estimate $2.75 Q2 '27 estimate $2.96
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy10 ratings
Bullish770.0%
Neutral330.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$14.96Current
$19Low
$25.27Average
$37High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 27, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Itau BBA Outperform Market PerformUpgradeOct 6, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 4, 2025
Show 5 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $14.96. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Banco SantanderAnalyst unavailable$19$16.09 +27.0%Oct 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$23$16.09 +53.8%Oct 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyJorge Kuri$19$16.09 +27.0%Oct 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$37$30.44 +147.4%Oct 8, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$22$17.4 +47.1%Jan 19, 2026
See 9 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

XP Inc. provides financial products and services in Brazil. The company operates XP Platform, an open product platform that provides clients to access investment products in the market comprising brokerage securities, fixed income securities, mutual, hedge, and private equity funds; derivatives and synthetic instruments; credit cards; loan operations/collateralized credit products; pension and social security funds, and life and travel insurance products; and other investment products comprising real estate funds, and equity and debt capital markets solutions, as well as wealth management services. It offers brokerage and issuer services to institutional and corporate clients.…

Historical context

All XP earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-18T13:19:04.302978+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T13:50:49.136458+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T13:50:49.133562+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-21. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.