XP Inc. · XP · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
XP’s Q2 growth broadened, while volatility and credit remain key risks
The supplied Q2 analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: XP is broadening growth through corporate cross-selling, fee-based wealth planning, offshore products and new SMB services, while maintained guidance and capital discipline provide support. The countercase is that volatility, fixed-income conditions, credit risk and rising technology-related SG&A could test the durability of that growth.
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Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the supplied prior-quarter analysis, XP’s Q2 analysis points to stronger corporate momentum, with corporate revenue up 117% year over year, and adds new initiatives in SMB payments and credit, offshore investing and AI-based advisory. Fee-based wealth planning reached 26% of client assets, while the company continued to emphasize buybacks, dividends and capital discipline.
Guidance delta
Management reaffirmed double-digit growth targets for 2026 and continued to target a 16–19% capital ratio range; guidance sentiment was maintained.
Key takeaways
- Client assets reached $2.2 trillion, up 17% year over year, according to the supplied analysis.
- Gross revenue rose 8% year over year to BRL 5.1 billion, while net income increased 5% to BRL 1.4 billion.
- Corporate revenue increased 117% year over year, and retail net new money reached $28 billion.
- Management highlighted SMB credit and POS services, offshore capabilities, fee-based wealth planning and an AI-driven adviser as expansion areas.
- The supplied analysis says share buybacks supported 9% EPS growth and that XP reaffirmed double-digit growth targets for 2026.
Management priorities
- Launch the SMB platform with credit-card and POS capabilities in September
- Roll out an AI-driven adviser for digital retail clients
- Expand offshore investment capabilities and fee-based wealth planning
- Continue share buybacks and dividends while maintaining the 16–19% capital-ratio target range
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citigroup | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 27, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 8, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Itau BBA | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 4, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 21, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | May 13, 2025 |
| Banco Bradesco BBI S.A | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 24, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Jul 20, 2023 |
| HSBC | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 28, 2023 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $15.08. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banco Santander | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $16.09 | +26.0% | Oct 29, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $16.09 | +52.5% | Oct 29, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jorge Kuri | $19 | $16.09 | +26.0% | Oct 29, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $37 | $30.44 | +145.3% | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $22 | $17.4 | +45.8% | Jan 19, 2026 |
| UBS | Thiago Batista | $25 | $17.58 | +65.7% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| UBS | Thiago Batista | $23 | $16.53 | +52.5% | Oct 16, 2025 |
| UBS | Thiago Batista | $21 | $18.25 | +39.2% | Jul 11, 2024 |
| Bradesco | Gustavo Schroden | $19 | $16.7 | +26.0% | Jul 2, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Tito Labarta | $23 | $21.42 | +52.5% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jorge Kuri | $24 | $21.11 | +59.1% | Apr 22, 2024 |
| Bradesco | Otavio Tanganelli | $32 | $25.47 | +112.1% | Jan 24, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Marcelo Telles | $26 | $23.82 | +72.4% | Jul 20, 2023 |
| HSBC | Neha Agarwala | $33 | $20.48 | +118.8% | Jun 10, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationXP Inc. provides financial products and services in Brazil. The company operates XP Platform, an open product platform that provides clients to access investment products in the market comprising brokerage securities, fixed income securities, mutual, hedge, and private equity funds; derivatives and synthetic instruments; credit cards; loan operations/collateralized credit products; pension and social security funds, and life and travel insurance products; and other investment products comprising real estate funds, and equity and debt capital markets solutions, as well as wealth management services. It offers brokerage and issuer services to institutional and corporate clients.…
Historical context
All XP earningsFinancial Services peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +23.8% | +1.9% | Affirm pairs strong growth outlook with underwriting and credit watchpoints |
| MET-PA MetLife, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.9% | — | Record quarter, with investment income and broad segment growth supporting results |
| MET-PE MetLife, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.9% | — | MetLife posts record Q3 earnings as investment income and expense control support growth |
| GPN Global Payments Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | 0.0% | -1.2% | Global Payments grows revenue and raises Worldpay synergy target |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- MTDFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+3.6% EPS+4.8% move
- IAGFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+16.7% EPS+4.6% move
- GMABFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+55.6% EPS-4.3% move
- STEFY2027 Q2 · November 4, 2026+9.7% EPS+2.5% move
- IRMFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+4.6% EPS-11.1% move
- AFRMFY2027 Q1 · November 5, 2026+23.8% EPS+1.9% move
Missed on EPS
- VMRKFY2026 Q3 · November 4, 2026-425.6% EPS+2.4% move
- NTRAFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-49.3% EPS-15.2% move
- TIGOFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-40.8% EPS+2.6% move
- UHALFY2027 Q2 · November 4, 2026-15.4% EPS-3.2% move
- LAMRFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-3.6% EPS-0.8% move
- CMIFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-6.0% EPS-4.9% move
Get the XP recap when the next report posts
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-18T13:19:04.302978+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T13:50:49.136458+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T13:50:49.133562+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-21. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.