Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. · WBD · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Max growth and debt reduction lead WBD’s quarter

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory for WBD’s direct-to-consumer business: Max subscriber growth, higher DTC EBITDA, and ongoing debt reduction are meaningful positives. The thesis remains conditional because linear advertising weakness, studio and game profitability, and leverage continue to offset that progress.

Reported Before market openNASDAQCommunication Services $77.60B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.05 Consensus $-0.07
EPS surprise +171.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.62B Consensus $10.46B
Revenue surprise -8.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +11.8% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +11.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +13.8% Up to 20 sessions
WBDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, Max had surpassed 110 million subscribers after 13 million additions in Q3, DTC EBITDA growth reached 175% year over year, and management highlighted more than $16 billion of debt paid down. The international rollout broadened, while studio and game profitability concerns remained.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management continues to target more than $1 billion of EBITDA in 2025 and a 2.5–3x leverage ratio.

Key takeaways

  • Max surpassed 110 million subscribers after adding 13 million in Q3.
  • Direct-to-Consumer EBITDA increased 175% year over year.
  • Management said more than $16 billion of debt has been paid down.
  • Studios, Games, and linear-TV advertising remain the main operating challenges.

Management priorities

  • Expand Max across Southeast Asia, Australia, Europe, and other international markets.
  • Prioritize four core game franchises while reducing underperforming titles.
  • Continue debt repayment and work toward a 2.5–3x leverage ratio.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WBD REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $10B Q1 '24 actual $10B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $10B Q2 '24 actual $10B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $10B Q3 '24 actual $10B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $10B Q2 '25 actual $10B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9B Q3 '25 actual $9B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $9B Q4 '25 actual $9B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $9B Q1 '26 actual $9B, match Q2 '26 estimate $9B Q2 '26 actual $9B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $9B Q4 '26 estimate $10B Q1 '27 estimate $9B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1135.5%
Neutral1858.1%
Bearish26.4%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$30.95Previous close
$5Low
$20.46Average
$40High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Sell HoldDowngradeSep 29, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 22, 2026
Seaport Global Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 27, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 7, 2026
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 7, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $30.95. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleySean Diffley$31$30.8 +0.2%Sep 22, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$31$26.74 +0.2%Jun 29, 2026
UBSJohn Hodulik$31$27.12 +0.2%May 7, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$31$27.75 +0.2%Mar 9, 2026
MoffettNathansonRobert Fishman$31$27.82 +0.2%Mar 6, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. operates as a prominent global media and entertainment conglomerate. Its operations are structured across three key divisions: Studios, Network, and Direct-to-Consumer (DTC). The Studios segment is responsible for the creation and theatrical release of feature films. It also develops and licenses television programming, serving both its internal network infrastructure and external partners, including direct-to-consumer platforms. Further, this segment manages the distribution of its film and television catalog to various third-party outlets and its proprietary television channels. Additionally, it encompasses streaming services, home entertainment distribution, licensing for themed attractions, and the creation of interactive games. The Network division oversees a comprehensive portfolio of television channels, both domestically and internationally.…

Historical context

All WBD earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T16:20:42.043522+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T16:20:42.040466+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.