Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. · WBD · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

WBD: Streaming scale and franchise momentum remain central

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: WBD's franchise slate, streaming expansion, advertising improvement, and focused games pipeline provide growth avenues, while leverage, sports economics, competition, and execution determine how durable that progress is.

Reported Before market openNASDAQCommunication Services $77.47B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.10 Consensus $-0.03
EPS surprise -209.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.46B Consensus $9.35B
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.9% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.8% Up to 20 sessions
WBDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the emphasis shifted toward a record film quarter, a streaming base expected to exceed 150 million subscribers, the Discovery Global spin-off's leverage profile, and a reset games pipeline with 2026 releases. International expansion and advertising improvement remain recurring priorities.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied analysis identifies no change to guidance sentiment.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted record film performance, with seven consecutive $40 million-plus openings and extensive industry recognition.
  • Streaming platforms are expected to exceed 150 million subscribers worldwide by year-end, with international launches supporting the plan.
  • The strategy combines franchise content, advertising improvement, sports programming, and a reset video-games pipeline.
  • The principal counterweights are Discovery Global leverage, sports-rights costs, competitive streaming pressure, and execution risk.

Management priorities

  • Extend major film, television, and gaming franchises
  • Expand HBO Max in the UK, Germany, Ireland, and Italy
  • Improve advertising performance and develop premium ad tiers
  • Operate the Discovery Global spin-off with a sustainable leverage profile
  • Focus the games business on proven studios and planned 2026 releases

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WBD EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $-0.20 Q1 '24 actual $-0.40, miss Q2 '24 estimate $-0.26 Q2 '24 actual $-4.07, miss Q3 '24 estimate $-0.07 Q3 '24 actual $0.05, beat Q2 '25 estimate $-0.24 Q2 '25 actual $0.63, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-0.07 Q3 '25 actual $-0.06, match Q4 '25 estimate $-0.03 Q4 '25 actual $-0.10, miss Q1 '26 estimate $-0.11 Q1 '26 actual $-1.17, miss Q2 '26 estimate $-0.14 Q2 '26 actual $0.06, beat Q3 '26 estimate $-0.02 Q4 '26 estimate $-0.05 Q1 '27 estimate $0.05
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1238.7%
Neutral1858.1%
Bearish13.2%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$30.85Current
$5Low
$20.46Average
$40High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 22, 2026
Seaport Global Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 27, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 7, 2026
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 7, 2026
Freedom Broker Hold HoldMaintainMar 10, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $30.85. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleySean Diffley$31$30.8 +0.5%Sep 22, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$31$26.74 +0.5%Jun 29, 2026
UBSJohn Hodulik$31$27.12 +0.5%May 7, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$31$27.75 +0.5%Mar 9, 2026
MoffettNathansonRobert Fishman$31$27.82 +0.5%Mar 6, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. operates as a prominent global media and entertainment conglomerate. Its operations are structured across three key divisions: Studios, Network, and Direct-to-Consumer (DTC). The Studios segment is responsible for the creation and theatrical release of feature films. It also develops and licenses television programming, serving both its internal network infrastructure and external partners, including direct-to-consumer platforms. Further, this segment manages the distribution of its film and television catalog to various third-party outlets and its proprietary television channels. Additionally, it encompasses streaming services, home entertainment distribution, licensing for themed attractions, and the creation of interactive games. The Network division oversees a comprehensive portfolio of television channels, both domestically and internationally.…

Historical context

All WBD earnings

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T19:11:04.085016+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T19:11:04.082360+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.