United Rentals, Inc. · URI · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

United Rentals: Specialty Growth Meets Integration and Margin Risks

The call supports a constructive operating view based on large-project demand, specialty rentals, and fleet productivity, but the next phase depends on H&E integration, leverage reduction, and protection of margins.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $68.40B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $11.77
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.94B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.1% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +1.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -17.0% Up to 20 sessions
URISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The narrative moved from record operating performance and specialty expansion toward executing the H&E acquisition, funding specialty growth, and reducing leverage while managing used-equipment and mix-related margin pressure.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook, emphasizing modest revenue growth, strong free cash flow, specialty growth capex, and leverage reduction after the H&E transaction.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record Q4 performance and strong demand across construction, industrial, and specialty rentals.
  • Specialty rentals and cold-start initiatives remained central growth drivers.
  • The H&E transaction shifts attention toward integration, leverage reduction, capex discipline, and margin execution.

Management priorities

  • Complete and integrate the H&E acquisition.
  • Invest growth capex in specialty cold-starts and fleet productivity.
  • Reduce leverage while maintaining the dividend policy and focusing on large-project demand.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
URI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $10.54 Q2 '24 actual $10.70, beat Q3 '24 estimate $12.48 Q3 '24 actual $11.80, miss Q2 '25 estimate $10.51 Q2 '25 actual $10.47, miss Q3 '25 estimate $12.29 Q3 '25 actual $11.70, miss Q4 '25 estimate $11.79 Q4 '25 actual $11.09, miss Q1 '26 estimate $8.95 Q1 '26 actual $9.71, beat Q2 '26 estimate $11.53 Q2 '26 actual $12.76, beat Q3 '26 estimate $13.97 Q3 '26 actual $15.55, beat Q4 '26 estimate $14.09 Q1 '27 estimate $11.97 Q2 '27 estimate $15.06 Q3 '27 estimate $17.92
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish2767.5%
Neutral820.0%
Bearish512.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,098.88Current
$269Low
$1,038.68Average
$1,450High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 23, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 10, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,098.88. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,450$1,091.58 +32.0%Oct 23, 2026
BernsteinChad Dillard$1,258$1,081.01 +14.5%Oct 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAngel Castillo$1,350$1,047.25 +22.9%Oct 23, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$1,392$1,111.02 +26.7%Oct 23, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$1,310$1,111.02 +19.2%Oct 23, 2026
See 60 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

United Rentals, Inc., founded in 1997 and headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, functions as a prominent equipment rental firm through its various subsidiaries. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: General Rentals and Specialty. The General Rentals segment offers a broad selection of construction and industrial machinery, including heavy equipment like backhoes, skid-steer loaders, earthmoving machinery, and forklifts, alongside aerial work platforms such as boom and scissor lifts. This division also provides general tools and lighter equipment, ranging from pressure washers to power tools. Its client base is diverse, encompassing construction and industrial enterprises, manufacturers, utility companies, municipalities, government bodies, and individual homeowners. Conversely, the Specialty segment focuses on more specialized construction products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-19T12:14:29.073836+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T04:40:42.688950+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T04:40:42.686254+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.