United Microelectronics Corporation · UMC · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

UMC Keeps Guidance Steady as Specialty Nodes Drive the Outlook

UMC's differentiated specialty-node portfolio and improved utilization support a constructive operating case, but flat shipment guidance and exposure to FX, costs and trade uncertainty temper the outlook. The quarter's reported EPS exceeded consensus while revenue was slightly below it.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $41.61B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.20 Consensus $0.12
EPS surprise +66.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.93B Consensus $1.95B
Revenue surprise -1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.1% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -3.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.8% Up to 20 sessions
UMCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted the 55nm BCD platform for automotive and industrial applications and described 22nm as a core growth engine. Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current call also provided a more specific 12nm IP3 ramp plan and kept the near-term outlook unchanged.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its Q4 2025 outlook: flat wafer shipments, firm ASPs and a $1.8 billion capex budget, with investment focused on 12-inch capacity. The analysis also describes planned 12nm IP3 production ramping from January 2026 and scaling in the second half of 2026.

Key takeaways

  • Capacity utilization improved and wafer shipments rose sequentially, according to the call analysis.
  • Management identified 22nm as a core growth engine and introduced a 55nm BCD platform aimed at automotive and industrial demand.
  • EPS beat consensus, while revenue came in modestly below consensus; the shares underperformed the benchmark during the event reaction window.

Management priorities

  • Develop and ramp differentiated 22nm and 55nm BCD offerings.
  • Expand capacity in Singapore and the United States while keeping the stated capex budget stable.
  • Advance 2.5D interposer and wafer-to-wafer stacking technologies, and continue collaboration with Intel on 12nm.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
UMC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $55B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $75B Q1 '27 estimate $78B Q2 '27 estimate $83B Q3 '27 estimate $88B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold15 ratings
Bullish426.7%
Neutral853.3%
Bearish320.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$16.68Current
$7.4Low
$9.03Average
$10.2High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Sell BuyDowngradeJan 21, 2025
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeOct 30, 2024
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeOct 28, 2024
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 17, 2024
Bernstein Underperform Market PerformDowngradeJun 8, 2021
Show 10 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $16.68. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$10.2$22.22 -38.8%May 28, 2026
BNP ParibasAlex Chang$8.6$11.39 -48.4%Jan 28, 2026
Goldman SachsBruce Lu$7.4$8.04 -55.6%Oct 17, 2024
HSBCFrank Lee$9.93$8.27 -40.5%Jan 25, 2024

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) operates as a specialized semiconductor wafer foundry, extending its services globally with operations across Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, the United States, and Europe. The company offers a comprehensive range of solutions, from initial circuit blueprinting and mask generation to wafer manufacturing, final assembly, and rigorous testing. UMC's customer base consists of both integrated device manufacturers and companies focused solely on chip design. This corporation, founded in 1980, has its primary headquarters situated in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T01:50:46.163745+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T01:50:46.161019+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.