Sandisk Corporation · SNDK · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026

SNDK: AI-driven NAND demand remains strong, but execution risks persist

The quarter supports the view that resilient AI and data-center demand can drive earnings growth: management said Q1 results topped guidance, data-center demand is expanding, and NBM partnerships cover roughly half of FY27 bits. The case remains dependent on pricing, execution of BiCS and HBF products, and continued demand across end markets.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $192.23B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $49.51 Consensus $46.67
EPS surprise +6.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $11.03B Consensus $10.72B
Revenue surprise +2.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -13.5% Event window
SPY move -1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -11.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
SNDKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts the emphasis from the prior quarter's broad roadmap to realized Q1 strength and greater forward visibility from NBM partnerships. Management also disclosed an 8-for-1 stock split, HBF samples expected in calendar 2027, and NBM coverage of roughly two-thirds of FY28 bits.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained. Q1 revenue and non-GAAP EPS topped guidance, with the analysis attributing the upside 60% to volume and 40% to pricing.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue and non-GAAP EPS topped guidance.
  • AI inference and data-center demand were identified as major NAND growth drivers.
  • NBM partnerships cover roughly half of FY27 bits and about two-thirds of FY28 bits.
  • BiCS9, BiCS10 and HBF remain central to the product roadmap.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate BiCS9 and BiCS10 rollout.
  • Deliver HBF sample devices in calendar 2027.
  • Expand NBM partnerships and data-center supply allocation.
  • Continue the share-repurchase program and execute the announced stock split.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SNDK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '25 estimate $0.05 Q4 '25 actual $0.29, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.88 Q1 '26 actual $1.22, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.62 Q2 '26 actual $6.20, beat Q3 '26 estimate $14.62 Q3 '26 actual $23.41, beat Q4 '26 estimate $34.96 Q4 '26 actual $39.25, beat Q1 '27 estimate $46.23 Q2 '27 estimate $53.60 Q3 '27 estimate $54.76 Q4 '27 estimate $59.36

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy16 ratings
Bullish1487.5%
Neutral212.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,150.89Current
$63Low
$1,566.89Average
$3,050High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 26, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 6, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 14, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 14, 2026
Show 11 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,150.89. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$2,050$1,704.16 +78.1%Oct 6, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$1,875$1,493.12 +62.9%Aug 25, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$1,600$1,656.09 +39.0%Aug 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$1,750$1,528.11 +52.1%Aug 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$1,900$1,528.11 +65.1%Aug 14, 2026
See 69 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

SanDisk Corporation specializes in designing, manufacturing, and supplying storage solutions and devices leveraging advanced NAND flash technology. Its diverse product line features solid-state drives (SSDs), embedded memory solutions, removable memory cards, universal serial bus (USB) devices, and underlying wafers and components. Founded on June 1, 1988, the company maintains its principal executive offices in Milpitas, California.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-30T14:17:23.211861+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T21:40:43.403680+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T21:40:43.401031+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.