Weyerhaeuser Company · WY · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Weyerhaeuser: Timberlands Strengthen as Growth Projects Advance

Weyerhaeuser's diversified timberlands and expanding Climate Solutions portfolio showed resilience in Q3, but the next-year case depends on wood-product demand, cost control, project execution, and capital discipline.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $14.23B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.08 Consensus $0.04
EPS surprise +128.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.86B Consensus $1.92B
Revenue surprise -2.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.0% Event window
SPY move -1.8% Same window
Abnormal move +4.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
WYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis shifts from raised guidance and improving lumber conditions to maintained guidance, stronger reported timberland performance, increased Q4 repurchases, and more emphasis on Climate Solutions, geothermal development, and AI-led efficiency.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was maintained: Q4 timberland earnings are expected to be comparable with Q3, while Strategic Land Solutions and Wood Products EBITDA are expected to be modestly lower.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 adjusted EBITDA rose 14% year over year to $248 million, led by timberlands.
  • Management highlighted Monticello, biocarbon, solar, geothermal, and AI initiatives as longer-term growth projects.
  • Higher rates, diesel costs, soft housing demand, weather, and trade conditions remain material risks.

Management priorities

  • Advance Monticello, the McComb biocarbon plant, and additional solar sites.
  • Expand Climate Solutions through forest carbon, biocarbon, and geothermal development.
  • Use AI and machine-learning pilots to improve timberland and manufacturing efficiency.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.21 Q2 '24 actual $0.21, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.01 Q3 '24 actual $0.05, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.10 Q2 '25 actual $0.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-0.07 Q3 '25 actual $0.06, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.13 Q4 '25 actual $-0.09, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.06 Q1 '26 actual $0.11, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.08 Q2 '26 actual $0.13, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.04 Q3 '26 actual $0.08, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.03 Q1 '27 estimate $0.11
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold24 ratings
Bullish1458.3%
Neutral833.3%
Bearish28.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$20.35Current
$25Low
$32.75Average
$45High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainOct 27, 2026
CIBC Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 27, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 16, 2026
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 14, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 12, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $20.35. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$25$19.3 +22.9%Oct 27, 2026
D.A. DavidsonKurt Yinger$27$19.3 +32.7%Oct 27, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$25$19.66 +22.9%Oct 16, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$30$18.5 +47.4%Oct 8, 2026
Raymond JamesBuck Horne$30$22.5 +47.4%Jul 10, 2026
See 21 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in 1900, Weyerhaeuser Company holds a prominent global position as one of the largest private proprietors of timberlands. These extensive holdings are cultivated responsibly, in full compliance with internationally accepted sustainable forestry criteria. Beyond its land stewardship, Weyerhaeuser is also a leading producer of wood-based goods throughout North America. The company's common stock is available for trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WY.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-30T20:05:52.947977+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T20:50:45.104220+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T20:50:45.101468+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.