Sandisk Corporation · SNDK · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2026
SanDisk: AI demand drives a stronger outlook, with execution risks
The current analysis supports a constructive growth thesis for SanDisk: resilient AI-related data-center demand, product mix, and the NAND transition strengthen the outlook, but supply, pricing, and capex execution remain important tests.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the outlook strengthened: guidance was raised, data-center demand accelerated, and management emphasized more aggressive capex, multiyear supply agreements, and the higher-density NAND transition.
Guidance delta
Management raised guidance, reinforcing the stronger near-term outlook described in the current analysis.
Key takeaways
- AI-driven data-center demand is the central growth driver in the current analysis.
- Supply remains below demand, making allocation and multiyear agreements strategic priorities.
- The higher-density NAND transition and premium consumer products support the growth case, while capex rises.
Management priorities
- Ramp higher-density NAND production and advance the Stargate storage product.
- Pursue multiyear supply agreements with prepayment components.
- Maintain aggressive capex to support targeted bit growth.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 25, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 14, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | May 27, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 15, 2026 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,787.69. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $1,875 | $1,493.12 | +4.9% | Aug 25, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $1,600 | $1,656.09 | -10.5% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,750 | $1,528.11 | -2.1% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $1,900 | $1,528.11 | +6.3% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | James Schneider | $2,200 | $1,528.11 | +23.1% | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $1,550 | $1,528.11 | -13.3% | Aug 13, 2026 |
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $2,900 | $1,254.98 | +62.2% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $3,000 | $1,283.61 | +67.8% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $1,750 | $1,350.5 | -2.1% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Srini Pajjuri | $1,300 | $1,350.5 | -27.3% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $1,400 | $1,350.5 | -21.7% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $2,800 | $1,350.5 | +56.6% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $3,050 | $1,622.81 | +70.6% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $3,250 | $1,599.27 | +81.8% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $1,620 | $1,589.4 | -9.4% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $3,100 | $1,915.92 | +73.4% | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Mark Newman | $3,000 | $2,050.39 | +67.8% | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $2,900 | $1,611.3 | +62.2% | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $2,200 | $1,559.32 | +23.1% | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $1,750 | $1,737 | -2.1% | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $1,825 | $1,589.94 | +2.1% | May 28, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tom O'Malley | $2,300 | $1,589.55 | +28.7% | May 26, 2026 |
| Melius Research | Analyst unavailable | $2,350 | $1,307.4 | +31.5% | May 18, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $1,625 | $1,406.32 | -9.1% | May 6, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,700 | $1,187 | -4.9% | May 4, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | James Schneider | $1,200 | $1,081.43 | -32.9% | May 1, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $1,220 | $1,148.24 | -31.8% | May 1, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $1,400 | $1,141 | -21.7% | May 1, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $1,470 | $1,142.51 | -17.8% | May 1, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $2,000 | $1,096.51 | +11.9% | May 1, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tom O'Malley | $1,200 | $1,096.51 | -32.9% | May 1, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $1,400 | $1,096.51 | -21.7% | May 1, 2026 |
| Wedbush | Matt Bryson | $1,200 | $1,002.35 | -32.9% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $1,400 | $989.9 | -21.7% | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $1,100 | $989.9 | -38.5% | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $975 | $920.99 | -45.5% | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $1,200 | $952.5 | -32.9% | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $1,000 | $851.57 | -44.1% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $1,250 | $851.57 | -30.1% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,000 | $652.79 | -44.1% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tom O'Malley | $750 | $576.25 | -58.0% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $1,000 | $539.3 | -44.1% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $800 | $539.3 | -55.2% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joseph Moore | $690 | $539.3 | -61.4% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Blayne Curtis | $700 | $539.3 | -60.8% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $710 | $539.3 | -60.3% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | James Schneider | $700 | $539.3 | -60.8% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Srini Pajjuri | $650 | $539.3 | -63.6% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Melissa Fairbanks | $725 | $539.3 | -59.4% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $600 | $470.8 | -66.4% | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joseph Moore | $483 | $473.83 | -73.0% | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Benchmark Co. | Analyst unavailable | $450 | $414.5 | -74.8% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tom O'Malley | $385 | $387.81 | -78.5% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $380 | $387.81 | -78.7% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $400 | $387.81 | -77.6% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $580 | $387.58 | -67.6% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $580 | $389.81 | -67.6% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | James Schneider | $320 | $352.75 | -82.1% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $410 | $334.54 | -77.1% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $273 | $200.27 | -84.7% | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $300 | $225 | -83.2% | Nov 7, 2025 |
| UBS | Joseph Moore | $230 | $199.33 | -87.1% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joseph Moore | $230 | $199.33 | -87.1% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Analyst unavailable | $220 | $204.36 | -87.7% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $215 | $169.17 | -88.0% | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $180 | $144.27 | -89.9% | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $115 | $116.91 | -93.6% | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | James Schneider | $55 | $46.95 | -96.9% | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Arete Research | Nam Hyung Kim | $63 | $41.82 | -96.5% | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $47.67 | -96.1% | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $52.99 | -95.5% | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $60 | $51 | -96.6% | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $51 | -96.6% | Mar 7, 2025 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationSanDisk Corporation specializes in designing, manufacturing, and supplying storage solutions and devices leveraging advanced NAND flash technology. Its diverse product line features solid-state drives (SSDs), embedded memory solutions, removable memory cards, universal serial bus (USB) devices, and underlying wafers and components. Founded on June 1, 1988, the company maintains its principal executive offices in Milpitas, California.
Historical context
All SNDK earningsTechnology peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACN Accenture plc | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | +17.1% | Accenture: AI demand supports FY27 growth outlook, with execution risks |
| JBL Jabil Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +8.1% | -10.0% | Jabil enters FY2027 with AI-led growth and capacity risks |
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +5.4% | +0.0% | Micron: Strong AI Memory Demand, Higher Capex, and HBM4E Ahead |
| SNX TD Synnex Corp | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +20.9% | -9.9% | TD SYNNEX: AI-led growth accelerates, but mix and cash flow matter |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +0.8% | +1.4% | Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +10.3% | -1.7% | Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth |
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T23:36:04.436633+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T23:36:04.432349+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.