Sandisk Corporation · SNDK · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2025

SanDisk: NAND demand and BiCS8 support a strong growth outlook

The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis: strong NAND demand, pricing power, and data-center growth are improving the near-term setup. The key test is whether BiCS8, Stargate, and HBF execution can convert that demand into durable growth without margin or fulfillment setbacks.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $254.71B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.22 Consensus $0.88
EPS surprise +38.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.31B Consensus $2.15B
Revenue surprise +7.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +15.3% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +15.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.9% Up to 20 sessions
SNDKSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about SNDK FY2026 Q1

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

The company highlighted a stronger data-center mix, a rapid BiCS8 transition, multi-year hyperscaler allocation discussions, and a defined HBF development timeline. These details sharpen the growth roadmap while making supply allocation and execution more important.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook and presented the next-quarter guidance as consistent with continued growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management described NAND demand as exceeding supply through 2026 and into 2027, supporting pricing and margin expansion.
  • Data-center demand is becoming the largest NAND market by exabyte volume, while BiCS8 is expected to become the primary production node by FY26.
  • The next phase of the story rests on hyperscaler allocation, Stargate enterprise SSD shipments, and HBF development.

Management priorities

  • Ramp BiCS8 production.
  • Qualify and ship Stargate enterprise SSDs to hyperscalers.
  • Advance HBF development and expand edge, gaming, and creator products.
  • Maintain disciplined capex while returning cash to shareholders.

Follow SNDK with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SNDK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '25 estimate $0.05 Q4 '25 actual $0.29, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.88 Q1 '26 actual $1.22, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.62 Q2 '26 actual $6.20, beat Q3 '26 estimate $14.62 Q3 '26 actual $23.41, beat Q4 '26 estimate $34.96 Q4 '26 actual $39.25, beat Q1 '27 estimate $46.11 Q2 '27 estimate $52.43 Q3 '27 estimate $53.97 Q4 '27 estimate $58.51

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy16 ratings
Bullish1487.5%
Neutral212.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,706.5Current
$63Low
$1,560.64Average
$3,050High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 14, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 14, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Show 11 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,706.5. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$1,875$1,493.12 +9.9%Aug 25, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$1,600$1,656.09 -6.2%Aug 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$1,750$1,528.11 +2.5%Aug 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$1,900$1,528.11 +11.3%Aug 14, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$2,200$1,528.11 +28.9%Aug 13, 2026
See 68 more

Track every rating change on SNDK the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

SanDisk Corporation specializes in designing, manufacturing, and supplying storage solutions and devices leveraging advanced NAND flash technology. Its diverse product line features solid-state drives (SSDs), embedded memory solutions, removable memory cards, universal serial bus (USB) devices, and underlying wafers and components. Founded on June 1, 1988, the company maintains its principal executive offices in Milpitas, California.

Historical context

All SNDK earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the SNDK recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T14:20:44.757456+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T14:20:44.751320+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.