UMB Financial Corporation · UMBF · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

UMB Financial: Loan and fee growth offset muted deposits

The quarter supports a constructive operating view: strong C&I loan production, rising fee income and assets under administration, and better margin and efficiency show continued execution. The case is tempered by muted point-in-time deposit growth, rate sensitivity, private-credit questions and changing capital rules.

Reported After market closeNASDAQFinancial Services $10.21B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.41 Consensus $2.82
EPS surprise +20.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $739.2M Consensus $701.8M
Revenue surprise +5.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.9% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -0.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.7% Up to 20 sessions
UMBFSPY benchmark

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What changed

Versus the prior quarter, UMBF again emphasized loan growth and acquisition-led geographic expansion, while adding more detail on corporate trust, fund services and technology initiatives. Core margin and efficiency improved, but management noted muted point-in-time deposit growth and continued variability in funding flows.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management described a stable operating outlook for the rest of 2026.

Key takeaways

  • C&I activity and new-market expansion drove robust loan production, with Texas and other markets highlighted.
  • Fee income and assets under administration continued to rise; management said private-credit exposure is less than 1% of total loans.
  • Core margin expanded and operating efficiency improved as deposit costs fell.
  • Capital remains flexible for repurchases, dividends, growth and selective tuck-in acquisitions, but deposit trends and updated capital rules warrant monitoring.

Management priorities

  • Sustain loan growth and expand in high-potential markets including California and Utah.
  • Develop corporate trust and fund-services platforms, including private-credit asset servicing.
  • Deploy AI and machine-learning tools to improve efficiency and cross-selling.
  • Pursue tuck-in acquisitions that add low-cost, granular deposits while maintaining capital flexibility.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
UMBF REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $385M Q2 '24 actual $686M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $399M Q3 '24 actual $558M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $652M Q2 '25 actual $633M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $662M Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $678M Q4 '25 actual $721M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $702M Q1 '26 actual $739M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $728M Q2 '26 actual $778M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $745M Q3 '26 actual $772M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $766M Q1 '27 estimate $778M Q2 '27 estimate $809M Q3 '27 estimate $830M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy19 ratings
Bullish1157.9%
Neutral842.1%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$134.47Current
$110Low
$160.37Average
$190High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 29, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 29, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 29, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 20, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 9, 2026
Show 14 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $134.47. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerNathan Race$169$132.34 +25.7%Oct 29, 2026
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$168$129.86 +24.9%Oct 9, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$147$131.84 +9.3%Sep 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyBrian Wilczynski$182$134.8 +35.3%Sep 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$155$139.49 +15.3%Sep 14, 2026
See 45 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

UMB Financial Corporation serves as the holding company for UMB Bank, delivering a comprehensive array of banking and financial solutions. Its Commercial Banking division provides businesses with essential services, including commercial loans, credit cards, and real estate financing. This segment also offers letters of credit, loan syndication, and consultative support. Furthermore, it delivers specialized business solutions such as asset-based lending, accounts receivable financing, mezzanine debt, and minority equity investments. Comprehensive treasury management services are also available, encompassing depository functions, account reconciliation, cash management tools, accounts payable and receivable solutions, electronic funds transfers, automated payments, controlled disbursements, lockbox services, and remote deposit capture. The Institutional Banking division caters specifically to institutional clients, offering asset management and healthcare services.…

Historical context

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Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T05:50:46.448843+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T05:50:46.445938+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.