Textron Inc. · TXT · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Textron leans on Bell momentum and a post-strike aviation ramp

The transcript supports a cautiously constructive operating case: Bell demand, aviation production recovery, aftermarket growth, and defense programs provide identifiable growth drivers, but industrial weakness, tariff uncertainty, cash-flow execution, and defense funding timing remain material offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $13.03B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.23
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.26B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.6% Event window
SPY move +2.1% Same window
Abnormal move +0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.2% Up to 20 sessions
TXTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Textron reported Bell-led growth and maintained its full-year outlook while pointing to progress in aviation production, new contracts, Denali certification, the Nuva V300 program, and completion of the Arctic Cat divestiture.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed FY2025 adjusted EPS guidance of $6-$6.20 and manufacturing cash-flow guidance of $800-$900 million.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue growth was led by Bell, while aviation grew modestly and industrial declined.
  • Management highlighted new defense and commercial helicopter contracts, including production extending through 2027.
  • Denali engine certification, the Nuva V300 hover flight, and the Arctic Cat divestiture were notable developments.

Management priorities

  • Restore aviation production toward pre-strike productivity levels.
  • Increase Bell helicopter volumes and fulfill the CMV-22 contract through 2027.
  • Advance unmanned and hybrid-electric platforms while expanding aviation aftermarket services.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TXT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.23 Q1 '24 actual $1.20, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.48 Q2 '24 actual $1.54, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.49 Q3 '24 actual $1.40, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.45 Q2 '26 actual $1.55, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.46 Q3 '26 actual $1.55, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.70 Q4 '26 actual $1.73, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.30 Q1 '27 actual $1.45, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.55 Q2 '27 actual $1.62, beat Q3 '27 estimate $1.44 Q4 '27 estimate $1.94 Q1 '28 estimate $1.56 Q2 '28 estimate $1.74
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1448.3%
Neutral1551.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$75.78Previous close
$68Low
$96.46Average
$110High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 7, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 4, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 4, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainApr 7, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $75.78. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSGavin Parsons$95$89.96 +25.4%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$98$89.96 +29.3%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$97$89.5 +28.0%Jul 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$100$92.78 +32.0%May 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$109$94.08 +43.8%May 4, 2026
See 17 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Textron Inc. (TXT) is a diverse global enterprise with significant involvement in the aerospace, defense, industrial, and financial sectors. Its Textron Aviation division is responsible for the production, sale, and maintenance of a variety of aircraft, including corporate jets, turboprop and piston-engine planes, and military trainer and defense aircraft. This segment also delivers extensive maintenance, inspection, and repair services, alongside selling commercial aircraft components. The Bell segment stands as a primary provider of military and civilian helicopters, in addition to tiltrotor aircraft, supported by related spare parts and services. Textron Systems focuses on developing and supplying advanced unmanned aerial platforms, sophisticated electronic systems and solutions, specialized marine vessels, piston aircraft engines, realistic live military air-to-air and air-to-ship training systems, weaponry and associated components, and a range of armored and specialty vehicles.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-10T00:01:43.729046+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T10:50:40.989071+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T10:50:40.986375+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.