Texas Instruments Incorporated · TXN · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

TI posts strong Q3 growth as capacity investment rises

The quarter supports a constructive operating case for Texas Instruments: strong analog, embedded, and data-center growth, higher gross margin, maintained guidance, and capacity investment point to resilient demand. The key qualification is execution: lead times, pricing negotiations, and large capex commitments remain important tests of whether the current growth and margin profile can persist.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $253.68B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.43
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $5.94B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move +2.5% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +1.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
TXNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows stronger reported momentum: revenue growth accelerated to 28% year over year, gross margin reached 64%, data-center revenue nearly doubled, and management provided Q4 guidance. The company also raised its dividend and emphasized Lehi fab expansion, while lead-time constraints and capex execution became more prominent concerns.

Guidance delta

Management provided Q4 revenue guidance of $5.8-$6.3 billion and EPS guidance of $2.45-$2.79; the analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 28% year over year, with analog up 32% and embedded processing up 21%.
  • Gross margin expanded to 64%, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Data-center revenue grew about 95% year over year, while industrial, automotive, and data-center demand remained strong.
  • The company increased its dividend 7% to $1.52 per share, according to the analysis.
  • Management is targeting $2-$3 billion of 2026 capex, with spending focused on factory expansion.

Management priorities

  • Ramp Lehi I and Lehi II fabs to support embedded growth.
  • Invest $2-$3 billion in 2026 capex, emphasizing clean-room and tool upgrades.
  • Expand products for data-center and industrial applications.
  • Continue dividend growth and return excess free cash flow to shareholders.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TXN REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, match Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $5B Q3 '25 actual $5B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '26 actual $5B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q3 '26 actual $6B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 estimate $6B Q3 '27 estimate $7B
Show 2 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold64 ratings
Bullish3046.9%
Neutral2843.7%
Bearish69.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$284.65Current
$140Low
$249.36Average
$405High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 20, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 19, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 17, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 23, 2026
Show 59 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $284.65. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$360$273.96 +26.5%Oct 19, 2026
Arete ResearchAlexi de Unger$405$277.07 +42.3%Jul 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$380$284.02 +33.5%Jul 23, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$305$284.47 +7.1%Jul 23, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$385$283.33 +35.3%Jul 23, 2026
See 133 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TI) specializes in the global design, production, and sale of semiconductors to electronics engineers and manufacturers. Its operations are structured into two core segments: Analog and Embedded Processing. The Analog division provides a comprehensive suite of power management products, such as battery-management solutions, various DC/DC and AC/DC switching regulators and controllers, power switches, linear regulators, voltage supervisors, references, and lighting components, all critical for managing diverse power needs. This segment also delivers signal chain products designed to sense, condition, and measure electrical signals, facilitating information transfer or conversion for further processing and control, encompassing items like amplifiers, data converters, interface devices, motor drives, clocks, and sensing…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-22T00:04:31.832608+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-21T01:23:14.182042+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-22T01:10:43.430058+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-22T01:10:43.427324+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.