Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. · TTWO · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2025

Take-Two: Strong Core Franchises, Mixed Mobile Outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: strong core franchises and a substantial release pipeline support growth, while mixed mobile performance, launch spending, and execution risk temper the outlook.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $37.46B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.64
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.39B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +14.0% Event window
SPY move -0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +14.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.3% Up to 20 sessions
TTWOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the release slate remained the central growth lever, with more emphasis on NBA 2K engagement, Zynga’s direct-to-consumer progress, Match Factory’s path to profitability, and mobile execution risks.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed FY2025 net bookings guidance and described sequential growth into FY2026 and FY2027.

Key takeaways

  • NBA 2K delivered double-digit growth in engagement and bookings.
  • Management reaffirmed FY2025 net bookings guidance of $5.55–$5.65 billion.
  • Civilization VII, GTA VI, Mafia: The Old Country, and Borderlands 4 underpin the release slate.
  • Match Factory was expected to become profitable later in the year, while mobile performance remained mixed.
  • Zynga’s direct-to-consumer expansion and partnerships were highlighted as growth initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Execute the upcoming flagship release slate.
  • Expand Zynga’s mobile portfolio and direct-to-consumer initiatives.
  • Improve mobile monetization and move Match Factory toward profitability.
  • Support game technology and office build-outs with planned capital spending.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TTWO REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $1B Q4 '24 actual $1B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1B Q1 '25 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 actual $2B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '27 actual $2B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $3B Q4 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy57 ratings
Bullish4680.7%
Neutral1119.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$200.32Previous close
$105Low
$226.76Average
$313High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Roth Capital Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 52 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $200.32. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$310$201.07 +54.8%Sep 28, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$285$252.15 +42.3%Aug 10, 2026
Robert W. BairdColin Sebastian$270$246.5 +34.8%Aug 10, 2026
OppenheimerMartin Yang$280$246.5 +39.8%Aug 10, 2026
BTIGClark Lampen$313$246.5 +56.3%Aug 10, 2026
See 71 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in 1993 and headquartered in New York, New York, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. is a global leader in the development, publishing, and marketing of interactive entertainment experiences for consumers worldwide. The company's extensive catalog is primarily distributed under its prominent labels: Rockstar Games, 2K, Private Division, and T2 Mobile Games. Rockstar Games is renowned for its action-adventure titles, including iconic franchises like Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, Max Payne, and Midnight Club, alongside other fan favorites such as LA Noire, Bully, and Manhunt. The 2K label covers a broad spectrum of genres, offering popular series in shooter (Borderlands), action (BioShock, Mafia), role-playing, strategy (Sid Meier's Civilization, XCOM series), sports, and family/casual categories.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-23T00:02:36.799981+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-14T07:20:44.057425+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-14T07:20:44.054670+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-14. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.