Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. · TTWO · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q2 2025

Take-Two Maintains Outlook While Flagging Impairment and Release Risks

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating trajectory: recurring spending, core franchises, mobile titles, and a major release slate provide growth support. That case is offset by the goodwill impairment, higher costs, dependence on blockbuster launches, and unresolved questions about margin recovery.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $39.91B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.08
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.55B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.4% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -3.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.2% Up to 20 sessions
TTWOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current call added a $3.6 billion goodwill impairment, shifted the focus toward FY2026 execution and margin recovery, and retained a maintained outlook. The release pipeline and direct-to-consumer initiatives remain central, while analyst concerns broadened to include pricing, development costs, tariffs, and the timing of GTA VI.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; the supplied analysis says FY2026 net bookings guidance is $5.9-$6.0 billion, or about 5% growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management described a strong FY2025 finish, with full-year net bookings at the top of guidance and recurring consumer spending up 7%.
  • The FY2026 outlook calls for modest growth while the company prepares a major release slate, including GTA VI, Mafia: The Old Country, and Borderlands 4.
  • The $3.6 billion goodwill impairment and higher expenses leave margin recovery and the returns on acquired assets as key investor questions.

Management priorities

  • Execute the upcoming slate of high-profile releases, including GTA VI and other franchise titles.
  • Extend NBA 2K, WWE 2K, and Civilization VII across new platforms and partnerships.
  • Expand direct-to-consumer mobile initiatives while improving engagement and profitability.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TTWO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $0.09 Q4 '24 actual $0.31, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.01 Q1 '25 actual $0.05, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.42 Q2 '25 actual $0.66, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.28 Q1 '26 actual $0.61, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.94 Q2 '26 actual $1.46, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.83 Q3 '26 actual $1.23, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.56 Q4 '26 actual $0.80, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.33 Q1 '27 actual $-0.18, miss Q2 '27 estimate $0.97 Q3 '27 estimate $3.83 Q4 '27 estimate $1.70
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy57 ratings
Bullish4680.7%
Neutral1119.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$213.44Current
$105Low
$226.76Average
$313High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 10, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Roth Capital Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 52 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $213.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$310$201.07 +45.2%Sep 28, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$285$252.15 +33.5%Aug 10, 2026
Robert W. BairdColin Sebastian$270$246.5 +26.5%Aug 10, 2026
OppenheimerMartin Yang$280$246.5 +31.2%Aug 10, 2026
BTIGClark Lampen$313$246.5 +46.6%Aug 10, 2026
See 71 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in 1993 and headquartered in New York, New York, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. is a global leader in the development, publishing, and marketing of interactive entertainment experiences for consumers worldwide. The company's extensive catalog is primarily distributed under its prominent labels: Rockstar Games, 2K, Private Division, and T2 Mobile Games. Rockstar Games is renowned for its action-adventure titles, including iconic franchises like Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, Max Payne, and Midnight Club, alongside other fan favorites such as LA Noire, Bully, and Manhunt. The 2K label covers a broad spectrum of genres, offering popular series in shooter (Borderlands), action (BioShock, Mafia), role-playing, strategy (Sid Meier's Civilization, XCOM series), sports, and family/casual categories.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-05-01T00:01:56.155314+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-10T15:30:43.428272+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-10T15:30:43.425307+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-10. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.