Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. · TTWO · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2026

Take-Two: Raised Outlook Meets a Strong Franchise Pipeline

The supplied analysis supports the view that Take-Two's growth case rests on resilient recurrent consumer spending, mobile expansion, direct-to-consumer monetization, and a major upcoming release. Evidence is constructive, but the thesis remains dependent on GTA VI execution, sustained mobile returns, and the durability of flagship-franchise demand.

Why did TTWO fall 5.4% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?

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Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $38.58B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.23 Consensus $0.83
EPS surprise +47.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.76B Consensus $1.58B
Revenue surprise +10.9% Reported versus consensus
Check the math in the surprise calculator >

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -5.4% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -4.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.9% Up to 20 sessions
TTWOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied analysis describes Q3 bookings above guidance and a higher FY2026 bookings outlook. It also emphasizes 19% mobile growth, expanded direct-to-consumer efforts, AI pilots, the CFX marketplace, and GTA VI as the next major growth driver.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment remained raised; the supplied analysis cites an FY2026 bookings outlook of $6.65-$6.7 billion, versus $6.4-$6.5 billion in the prior-quarter analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 net bookings surpassed guidance, supporting a higher FY2026 bookings outlook.
  • Mobile grew 19% year over year, with TuneBlast and Match Factory cited as contributors.
  • NBA 2K and Grand Theft Auto delivered record recurrent consumer spending.
  • Management highlighted direct-to-consumer initiatives, AI pilots, and the CFX marketplace.
  • GTA VI, scheduled for November 19, was identified as a major future growth driver.

Management priorities

  • Execute the GTA VI launch and related marketing campaign
  • Expand mobile direct-to-consumer offerings and flexible pricing
  • Continue AI pilot programs aimed at operational efficiencies
  • Develop the CFX user-generated-content marketplace
  • Support the broader pipeline, including NBA 2K, WWE 2K, and Borderlands updates

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TTWO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $0.01 Q1 '25 actual $0.05, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.42 Q2 '25 actual $0.66, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.28 Q1 '26 actual $0.61, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.94 Q2 '26 actual $1.46, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.83 Q3 '26 actual $1.23, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.56 Q4 '26 actual $0.80, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.33 Q1 '27 actual $-0.18, miss Q2 '27 estimate $0.96 Q2 '27 actual $0.29, miss Q3 '27 estimate $3.83 Q4 '27 estimate $1.70
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy58 ratings
Bullish4781.0%
Neutral1119.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$231.81Current
$105Low
$227.29Average
$330High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainNov 10, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainNov 10, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 27, 2026
Freedom Capital Markets Buy BuyMaintainOct 26, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 53 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $231.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSChristopher Schoell$295$207.4 +27.3%Nov 10, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$330$207.4 +42.4%Nov 10, 2026
BTIGClark Lampen$262$208.9 +13.0%Nov 5, 2026
Piper SandlerJames Callahan$290$190.17 +25.1%Nov 2, 2026
WedbushAlicia Reese$280$190.17 +20.8%Nov 2, 2026
See 76 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in 1993 and headquartered in New York, New York, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. is a global leader in the development, publishing, and marketing of interactive entertainment experiences for consumers worldwide. The company's extensive catalog is primarily distributed under its prominent labels: Rockstar Games, 2K, Private Division, and T2 Mobile Games. Rockstar Games is renowned for its action-adventure titles, including iconic franchises like Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, Max Payne, and Midnight Club, alongside other fan favorites such as LA Noire, Bully, and Manhunt. The 2K label covers a broad spectrum of genres, offering popular series in shooter (Borderlands), action (BioShock, Mafia), role-playing, strategy (Sid Meier's Civilization, XCOM series), sports, and family/casual categories.…

Historical context

All TTWO earnings

Technology peers this season

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CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 0.0% -0.5% CoreWeave Q3: 168% Revenue Growth, Higher FY2026 Guidance
KSPI Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +0.6% -2.4% Kaspi.kz Lowers GMV Outlook as AI and Grocery Expand

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T22:00:58.309225+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T22:00:58.306389+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.