TotalEnergies SE · TTE · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

TotalEnergies reaffirms disciplined growth and 2026 targets

Management’s confident outlook supports a constructive operating trajectory, but returns remain exposed to commodity prices, execution and regulatory risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $212.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.73 Consensus $1.80
EPS surprise -3.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $45.92B Consensus $33.98B
Revenue surprise +35.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.1% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +4.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.8% Up to 20 sessions
TTESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current call added emphasis on Namibia assets, new LNG trains, integrated power and data-center PPAs, while maintaining disciplined 2026 capex and shareholder distributions.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management reaffirmed 2026 targets, including $15 billion of capex, approximately 5% dividend growth in euros, and a $3 billion–$6 billion buyback range.

Key takeaways

  • 2025 performance exceeded guidance, with 4% upstream growth and $28 billion of cash flow.
  • Namibia, LNG and integrated power are the main strategic growth platforms highlighted for 2026 and beyond.
  • AI-enabled operations and data-center power agreements broaden the company’s efficiency and demand initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Advance Venus and Mopane toward planned final investment decisions.
  • Commission new LNG capacity and integrate EPH gas-to-power operations.
  • Roll out the AI data platform and expand the data-center power purchase agreement pipeline.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TTE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $49B Q2 '24 actual $49B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $46B Q3 '24 actual $47B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $44B Q2 '25 actual $45B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $33B Q3 '25 actual $44B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $34B Q4 '25 actual $46B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $45B Q1 '26 actual $50B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $55B Q2 '26 actual $57B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $55B Q3 '26 actual $62B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $65B Q1 '27 estimate $57B Q2 '27 estimate $53B Q3 '27 estimate $52B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy34 ratings
Bullish2058.8%
Neutral1338.2%
Bearish13.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$95.33Current
$67Low
$80.7Average
$108High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 23, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 3, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 22, 2026
Freedom Broker Sell BuyDowngradeFeb 13, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $95.33. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$108$91.02 +13.3%Oct 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$90$89.25 -5.6%Sep 3, 2026
Piper SandlerJohn Royall$93$90.22 -2.4%Sep 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$103$81.39 +8.0%Jul 20, 2026
Wolfe ResearchDoug Leggate$83$67.2 -12.9%Jan 21, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

TotalEnergies SE, headquartered in Courbevoie, France, traces its origins back to its incorporation in 1924. Known as TOTAL SE until its rebranding in June 2021, it stands as a global, integrated energy powerhouse. Its extensive worldwide operations are structured across four key business segments: The Integrated Gas, Renewables & Power division encompasses the entire liquefied natural gas (LNG) value chain, from production and shipping to trading and regasification. It also actively trades various energy commodities including liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), natural gas, and electricity, alongside petcoke and sulfur. This segment is deeply involved in natural gas transportation, electricity generation from a diverse mix of sources—ranging from natural gas to wind, solar, hydroelectric, and biogas—as well as energy storage solutions and the development of biomethane facilities. Furthermore, it offers energy efficiency services.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T10:20:40.708190+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T10:20:40.705398+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.