TotalEnergies SE · TTE · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

TotalEnergies posts strong Q2 as power and upstream growth offset risks

The quarter supports a constructive but conditional view of TotalEnergies: resilient upstream and integrated-power growth, diversified LNG projects, and disciplined capital allocation strengthen the outlook, while geopolitical, sanctions, trading, and project-execution risks remain material.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $212.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.68 Consensus $2.66
EPS surprise +0.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $57.10B Consensus $55.13B
Revenue surprise +3.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.6% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.4% Up to 20 sessions
TTESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter showed stronger realized operating performance, early EPH benefits, a raised guidance sentiment, and further progress on Namibia and Mexico LNG projects. LNG trading was a relative weakness, and geopolitical and sanctions concerns became more prominent.

Guidance delta

Management’s guidance sentiment was raised, with annual net capex maintained around $15 billion and upstream production growth above prior expectations.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 cash flow was near $10 billion, supported by high oil prices, downstream margins, and the EPH assets.
  • Upstream production grew more than 4% year over year despite Middle East-related lift limitations.
  • Integrated power generation rose 28% year over year, while LNG trading underperformed.
  • Capital allocation remained disciplined, with lower gearing, a higher dividend, and continued buybacks.

Management priorities

  • Advance Venus and Mopane in Namibia and progress Cronos Block 6 in Cyprus.
  • Expand integrated power generation and continue LNG project development.
  • Maintain capex discipline while considering opportunistic M&A.
  • Diversify LNG supply and export routes.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TTE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.09 Q2 '24 actual $1.98, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.96 Q3 '24 actual $1.74, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.62 Q2 '25 actual $1.57, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.81 Q3 '25 actual $1.77, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.80 Q4 '25 actual $1.73, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2.22 Q1 '26 actual $2.45, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.66 Q2 '26 actual $2.68, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.84 Q3 '26 actual $4.03, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.52 Q1 '27 estimate $2.99 Q2 '27 estimate $2.75 Q3 '27 estimate $2.89
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy34 ratings
Bullish2058.8%
Neutral1338.2%
Bearish13.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$95.33Current
$67Low
$80.7Average
$108High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 23, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 3, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 22, 2026
Freedom Broker Sell BuyDowngradeFeb 13, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $95.33. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$108$91.02 +13.3%Oct 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$90$89.25 -5.6%Sep 3, 2026
Piper SandlerJohn Royall$93$90.22 -2.4%Sep 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$103$81.39 +8.0%Jul 20, 2026
Wolfe ResearchDoug Leggate$83$67.2 -12.9%Jan 21, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

TotalEnergies SE, headquartered in Courbevoie, France, traces its origins back to its incorporation in 1924. Known as TOTAL SE until its rebranding in June 2021, it stands as a global, integrated energy powerhouse. Its extensive worldwide operations are structured across four key business segments: The Integrated Gas, Renewables & Power division encompasses the entire liquefied natural gas (LNG) value chain, from production and shipping to trading and regasification. It also actively trades various energy commodities including liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), natural gas, and electricity, alongside petcoke and sulfur. This segment is deeply involved in natural gas transportation, electricity generation from a diverse mix of sources—ranging from natural gas to wind, solar, hydroelectric, and biogas—as well as energy storage solutions and the development of biomethane facilities. Furthermore, it offers energy efficiency services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-26T16:04:04.594247+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-08-27T01:23:13.912278+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T19:50:43.221993+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T19:50:43.219216+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.