Trimble Inc. · TRMB · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Trimble’s Q4 execution lifted guidance as recurring revenue scaled

The current analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Trimble’s recurring-revenue mix, margin expansion, TC1 adoption and AI productivity initiatives strengthen the operating trajectory, while freight weakness, construction uncertainty, tariffs, foreign exchange and execution around M&A remain material offsets.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $14.01B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.88
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $945.4M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.6% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.2% Up to 20 sessions
TRMBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Q4 introduced a first-time gross-margin result above 70%, completed the mobility divestiture, increased the share-repurchase authorization to $1 billion, and showed record Transporeon bookings despite a weak freight market. Management also moved from prior full-year guidance to raised FY2025 revenue and EPS guidance on a constant-currency basis.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2025 revenue and EPS guidance on a constant-currency basis after Q4 revenue, ARR and EPS exceeded guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 revenue, ARR and EPS beat guidance.
  • Recurring revenue reached 62% of total revenue.
  • Gross margin exceeded 70% for the first time.
  • TC1, AI initiatives and record Transporeon bookings remain key growth themes.
  • Capital allocation centers on buybacks and targeted tuck-in acquisitions.

Management priorities

  • Continue TC1 rollout in Europe and Asia-Pacific
  • Deploy AI agents for internal productivity
  • Launch the BX992 field product
  • Pursue construction ERP and instruction-software tuck-ins
  • Maintain share repurchases and platform investment

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TRMB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $0.62 Q1 '25 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.58 Q2 '25 actual $0.62, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.62 Q3 '25 actual $0.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.62 Q2 '26 actual $0.71, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.72 Q3 '26 actual $0.81, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.96 Q4 '26 actual $1.00, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.72 Q1 '27 actual $0.79, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.80 Q2 '27 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '27 estimate $0.86 Q4 '27 estimate $1.16 Q1 '28 estimate $0.87 Q2 '28 estimate $0.97
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1763.0%
Neutral933.3%
Bearish13.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$60.09Previous close
$61Low
$82.33Average
$100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 8, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $60.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$80$56.99 +33.1%Aug 19, 2026
BernsteinChad Dillard$73$55.64 +21.5%Aug 13, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$61$52.29 +1.5%Jul 14, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$80$63.42 +33.1%May 7, 2026
OppenheimerKristen Owen$86$68.88 +43.1%Feb 10, 2026
See 14 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Trimble Inc. develops and supplies technology solutions globally, empowering professionals and field workers to significantly improve or revolutionize their operational workflows. Through its Buildings and Infrastructure segment, the company delivers a comprehensive array of digital tools for the construction sector. This includes software for route planning, 3D design, and data exchange, along with systems for guiding construction machinery and for monitoring and managing assets, personnel, and equipment. The segment also offers advanced Building Information Modeling (BIM), Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), and project management platforms. Furthermore, it provides integrated solutions for site layout, measurement, cost estimation, scheduling, and project control, alongside specialized applications tailored for subcontractors and various trades. The Geospatial segment focuses on advanced surveying products, geographic information systems (GIS), and related geospatial technologies.…

Historical context

All TRMB earnings

Technology peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-11T14:17:18.658032+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T04:50:45.024630+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T04:50:45.021349+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.